share_log

With EPS Growth And More, Churchill Downs (NASDAQ:CHDN) Makes An Interesting Case

Simply Wall St ·  Aug 9 07:57

Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks' without any revenue, let alone profit. Unfortunately, these high risk investments often have little probability of ever paying off, and many investors pay a price to learn their lesson. Loss making companies can act like a sponge for capital - so investors should be cautious that they're not throwing good money after bad.

In contrast to all that, many investors prefer to focus on companies like Churchill Downs (NASDAQ:CHDN), which has not only revenues, but also profits. Now this is not to say that the company presents the best investment opportunity around, but profitability is a key component to success in business.

Churchill Downs' Earnings Per Share Are Growing

If a company can keep growing earnings per share (EPS) long enough, its share price should eventually follow. That makes EPS growth an attractive quality for any company. Shareholders will be happy to know that Churchill Downs' EPS has grown 29% each year, compound, over three years. If the company can sustain that sort of growth, we'd expect shareholders to come away satisfied.

Top-line growth is a great indicator that growth is sustainable, and combined with a high earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margin, it's a great way for a company to maintain a competitive advantage in the market. The music to the ears of Churchill Downs shareholders is that EBIT margins have grown from 23% to 26% in the last 12 months and revenues are on an upwards trend as well. That's great to see, on both counts.

The chart below shows how the company's bottom and top lines have progressed over time. To see the actual numbers, click on the chart.

big
NasdaqGS:CHDN Earnings and Revenue History August 9th 2024

Fortunately, we've got access to analyst forecasts of Churchill Downs' future profits. You can do your own forecasts without looking, or you can take a peek at what the professionals are predicting.

Are Churchill Downs Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

It's said that there's no smoke without fire. For investors, insider buying is often the smoke that indicates which stocks could set the market alight. That's because insider buying often indicates that those closest to the company have confidence that the share price will perform well. However, small purchases are not always indicative of conviction, and insiders don't always get it right.

First and foremost; there we saw no insiders sell Churchill Downs shares in the last year. Even better, though, is that the Independent Director, Paul Varga, bought a whopping US$495k worth of shares, paying about US$130 per share, on average. Big buys like that may signal an opportunity; actions speak louder than words.

The good news, alongside the insider buying, for Churchill Downs bulls is that insiders (collectively) have a meaningful investment in the stock. We note that their impressive stake in the company is worth US$346m. Holders should find this level of insider commitment quite encouraging, since it would ensure that the leaders of the company would also experience their success, or failure, with the stock.

Should You Add Churchill Downs To Your Watchlist?

If you believe that share price follows earnings per share you should definitely be delving further into Churchill Downs' strong EPS growth. On top of that, insiders own a significant piece of the pie when it comes to the company's stock, and one has been buying more. Astute investors will want to keep this stock on watch. It is worth noting though that we have found 1 warning sign for Churchill Downs that you need to take into consideration.

Keen growth investors love to see insider activity. Thankfully, Churchill Downs isn't the only one. You can see a a curated list of companies which have exhibited consistent growth accompanied by high insider ownership.

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
    Write a comment