Tianjin Binhai Energy & Development Co.,Ltd (SZSE:000695) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 31% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 20% in the last twelve months.
Following the firm bounce in price, given around half the companies in China's Commercial Services industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.4x, you may consider Tianjin Binhai Energy & DevelopmentLtd as a stock to avoid entirely with its 6.2x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
How Has Tianjin Binhai Energy & DevelopmentLtd Performed Recently?
For instance, Tianjin Binhai Energy & DevelopmentLtd's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Tianjin Binhai Energy & DevelopmentLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Tianjin Binhai Energy & DevelopmentLtd would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 5.0%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 40% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 30% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Tianjin Binhai Energy & DevelopmentLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Final Word
The strong share price surge has lead to Tianjin Binhai Energy & DevelopmentLtd's P/S soaring as well. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
We've established that Tianjin Binhai Energy & DevelopmentLtd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Tianjin Binhai Energy & DevelopmentLtd you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Tianjin Binhai Energy & DevelopmentLtd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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