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Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:LVLU) Popularity With Investors Under Threat As Stock Sinks 32%

Simply Wall St ·  Aug 10 09:19

Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:LVLU) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 32% share price drop in the last month. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 47% share price drop.

Although its price has dipped substantially, there still wouldn't be many who think Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x is worth a mention when the median P/S in the United States' Specialty Retail industry is similar at about 0.3x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

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NasdaqGM:LVLU Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 10th 2024

How Has Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Performed Recently?

Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn around. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings.

How Is Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings' is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 19%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 38% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should bring diminished returns, with revenue decreasing 2.2% as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 3.6% growth, that's a disappointing outcome.

With this in consideration, we think it doesn't make sense that Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings' P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company reject the analyst cohort's pessimism and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as these declining revenues are likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings' P/S

Following Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings' share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

It appears that Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings currently trades on a higher than expected P/S for a company whose revenues are forecast to decline. When we see a gloomy outlook like this, our immediate thoughts are that the share price is at risk of declining, negatively impacting P/S. If we consider the revenue outlook, the P/S seems to indicate that potential investors may be paying a premium for the stock.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 4 warning signs for Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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