The American Vanguard Corporation (NYSE:AVD) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 40%. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 66% share price decline.
Since its price has dipped substantially, considering around half the companies operating in the United States' Chemicals industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.3x, you may consider American Vanguard as an solid investment opportunity with its 0.2x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
What Does American Vanguard's Recent Performance Look Like?
American Vanguard certainly has been doing a good job lately as its revenue growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their revenue go backwards. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to degrade substantially, possibly more than the industry, which has repressed the P/S. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think American Vanguard's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For American Vanguard?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, American Vanguard would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 2.7%. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 15% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 4.7% during the coming year according to the dual analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be similar to the 3.7% growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this information, we find it odd that American Vanguard is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
What Does American Vanguard's P/S Mean For Investors?
The southerly movements of American Vanguard's shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our examination of American Vanguard's revealed that its P/S remains low despite analyst forecasts of revenue growth matching the wider industry. The low P/S could be an indication that the revenue growth estimates are being questioned by the market. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide more support to the share price.
Having said that, be aware American Vanguard is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 2 of those make us uncomfortable.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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