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Koss Corporation (NASDAQ:KOSS) Shares May Have Slumped 26% But Getting In Cheap Is Still Unlikely

Simply Wall St ·  Aug 11 08:05

The Koss Corporation (NASDAQ:KOSS) share price has softened a substantial 26% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. Looking at the bigger picture, even after this poor month the stock is up 72% in the last year.

Even after such a large drop in price, when almost half of the companies in the United States' Consumer Durables industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.7x, you may still consider Koss as a stock not worth researching with its 5x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

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NasdaqCM:KOSS Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 11th 2024

How Has Koss Performed Recently?

For instance, Koss' receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Koss will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Koss' Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Koss' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 13% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 31% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 5.4% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

In light of this, it's alarming that Koss' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Koss' P/S

A significant share price dive has done very little to deflate Koss' very lofty P/S. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Koss revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Koss (1 is a bit unpleasant) you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Koss' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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