Is Helen of Troy (NASDAQ:HELE) A Risky Investment?
Is Helen of Troy (NASDAQ:HELE) A Risky Investment?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Helen of Troy Limited (NASDAQ:HELE) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
David Iben說得好,“波動性不是我們關注的風險。我們關心的是避免資本的永久性損失。這似乎表明聰明的錢已經知道,通常與破產有關的債務是一種非常重要的因素,當你評估一個公司的風險時。與許多其他公司一樣,海倫特洛伊有限制公司(納斯達克:HELE)使用債務。但更重要的問題是:這些債務產生了多少風險?
When Is Debt A Problem?
什麼時候負債才是一個問題?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
債務和其他負債對於一家企業來說存在風險,當它無法輕鬆地通過自由現金流或以有吸引力的價格籌集資本來履行這些義務時。最終,如果公司無法履行法律義務償還債務,股東可能一無所獲。然而,更常見(但仍然痛苦)的情況是:其必須以低價募集新的股權資本,從而永久地稀釋股東的持股。當然,許多公司使用債務來資助增長,而沒有任何負面後果。當考慮企業使用多少債務時,要做的第一件事是將其現金和債務放在一起看。
What Is Helen of Troy's Debt?
海倫特洛伊的債務情況如何?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Helen of Troy had debt of US$748.4m at the end of May 2024, a reduction from US$838.0m over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$20.8m, its net debt is less, at about US$727.6m.
下面的圖片,點擊可放大,顯示2024年5月底海倫特洛伊的債務爲7.48億美元,較去年的8.38億美元有所減少。然而,由於其儲備了2080萬美元的現金,其淨債務較少,約爲727.6萬美元。
How Strong Is Helen of Troy's Balance Sheet?
海倫特洛伊的資產負債表有多強?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Helen of Troy had liabilities of US$427.7m due within a year, and liabilities of US$843.8m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$20.8m and US$340.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$910.6m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
最新的資產負債表數據顯示,海倫特洛伊有限制公司有4,277萬美元的負債需要在一年內償還,以及84,380萬美元的負債需要在一年後償還。另一方面,它在一年內有2080萬美元的現金和3401萬美元的應收款項。所以它的負債總額比其現金和短期應收款合計高出91,060萬美元。
This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of US$1.22b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Helen of Troy's use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.
相對於其市值12.2億美元而言,這個赤字是相當大的,因此它確實表明,股東應該關注海倫特洛伊對債務的使用。這表明,如果公司需要緊急籌集資本,股東將被嚴重稀釋。
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
爲了比較一個公司的債務與其收益的關係,我們計算其淨債務除以利息、稅、折舊和攤銷前的收益和利息前的收益(其利息覆蓋率)。因此,我們考慮了債務的絕對數量以及支付的利率。
Helen of Troy's debt is 2.5 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 4.6 times over. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. Unfortunately, Helen of Troy saw its EBIT slide 4.3% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues then its debt load will grow heavy like the heart of a polar bear watching its sole cub. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Helen of Troy's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
海倫特洛伊的債務是其EBITDA的2.5倍,其EBIT覆蓋了其利息支出的4.6倍。這表明,儘管債務水平相當高,但我們不會稱其爲有問題。可惜的是,海倫特洛伊在過去十二個月中的EBIT下降了4.3%。如果那種收益趨勢繼續下去,那麼它的債務負載將像極地熊觀賞其唯一幼崽一樣笨重。當分析債務水平時,資產負債表是開始的顯而易見的地方。然而,最終,放眼未來的收益,而不是其他因素,將決定海倫特洛伊維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的看法,你可能會發現這份免費報告對分析師的盈利預測很有趣。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Helen of Troy produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 62% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
但我們的最終考慮也很重要,因爲一家公司無法用紙質利潤支付債務;它需要的是冷硬現金。所以我們總是覈對有多少EBIT能轉化爲自由現金流。在過去的三年中,海倫特洛伊生產了牢固的自由現金流,相當於其EBIT的62%,正如我們所期望的那樣。這筆冷硬現金意味着它可以在想要的時候減少其債務。
Our View
我們的觀點
Neither Helen of Troy's ability to handle its total liabilities nor its EBIT growth rate gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But it seems to be able to convert EBIT to free cash flow without much trouble. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Helen of Troy is taking some risks with its use of debt. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Helen of Troy you should know about.
既然我們考慮到的所有因素,就像我們似乎應該在海倫特洛伊的債務使用方面承擔一些風險一樣。雖然這些債務可以提高回報,但我們認爲該公司現在已經具備足夠的槓桿力。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是最顯而易見的地方。然而,並非所有投資風險都在資產負債表中存在-遠非如此。尋找這些風險可能很困難。每個公司都有這樣的風險,我們已經發現了1個警告信號,告訴你應該了解海倫特洛伊的情況。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果您有興趣投資能夠在不負債的情況下增長利潤的企業,請查看這份免費列表,其中列出了在資產負債表上擁有淨現金的成長型企業。
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