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Risks Still Elevated At These Prices As Dragon King Group Holdings Limited (HKG:8493) Shares Dive 37%

Simply Wall St ·  Aug 12 18:07

Dragon King Group Holdings Limited (HKG:8493) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 37% share price drop in the last month. Still, a bad month hasn't completely ruined the past year with the stock gaining 41%, which is great even in a bull market.

Even after such a large drop in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Dragon King Group Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Hospitality industry in Hong Kong, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.6x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

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SEHK:8493 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 12th 2024

How Dragon King Group Holdings Has Been Performing

Dragon King Group Holdings certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing its revenue at a really rapid pace. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to wane, which has kept the share price, and thus the P/S ratio, from rising. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Dragon King Group Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Dragon King Group Holdings?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Dragon King Group Holdings would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 31% last year. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year revenue frustratingly shrank by 47% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 19% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Dragon King Group Holdings' P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Dragon King Group Holdings' P/S

With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for Dragon King Group Holdings looks to be in line with the rest of the Hospitality industry. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

The fact that Dragon King Group Holdings currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 6 warning signs for Dragon King Group Holdings (4 don't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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