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First Tractor (HKG:38) Has A Rock Solid Balance Sheet

First Tractor (HKG:38) Has A Rock Solid Balance Sheet

一拖股份(HKG:38)有着堅如磐石的資產負債表
Simply Wall St ·  08/12 18:54

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies First Tractor Company Limited (HKG:38) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

著名的基金經理陸奇(由查理·芒格支持)曾經說過:「最大的投資風險不在於價格的波動,而在於您是否會永久損失資本。」所以在考慮一支股票是否有風險時,需要考慮債務問題,因爲過多的債務可能會使一家公司陷入困境。與許多其他公司一樣,一拖股份有債務。但股東們應該擔心它的債務使用嗎?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務帶來了什麼風險?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

通常情況下,只有當公司無法輕易償還債務時,即通過增加資本或用自有現金流償還,債務才會成爲真正的問題。在最壞的情況下,如果公司無法償還債權人,它可能會破產。然而,更普遍(但仍然昂貴)的情況是公司必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東權益,以便控制債務。當然,許多公司使用債務來資助成長,沒有產生任何負面後果。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,首先要做的是查看其現金和債務的總體情況。

How Much Debt Does First Tractor Carry?

一拖股份負債有多少?

As you can see below, First Tractor had CN¥225.2m of debt at March 2024, down from CN¥345.4m a year prior. But on the other hand it also has CN¥3.53b in cash, leading to a CN¥3.30b net cash position.

正如您可以在下面的表格中看到的,一拖股份於2024年3月份有人民幣2,252萬元的債務,低於一年前的3,454萬元。而另一方面,它也持有人民幣35.3億元的現金,導致淨現金爲33億元。

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SEHK:38 Debt to Equity History August 12th 2024
SEHK:38資產負債歷史 August 12th 2024

A Look At First Tractor's Liabilities

我們可以從最近的資產負債表中看到,一拖股份有約6.98億人民幣的短期負債,在那之前還有約553.5萬元的長期負債。抵消這些負債的是,它有人民幣35.3億元的現金和價值22.5億元的應收賬款。因此,它的負債超過了其現金和(短期)應收賬款的總和達1.76億元。當然,一拖股份市值爲約13.4億元,因此這些負債可能是可控的。儘管有值得關注的負債,一拖股份擁有淨現金,因此可以說它沒有沉重的債務負擔!

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that First Tractor had liabilities of CN¥6.98b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥553.5m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥3.53b as well as receivables valued at CN¥2.25b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥1.76b.

當然,在分析債務時,資產負債表是需要關注的領域。但更重要的是,未來的收益才是決定一拖股份未來是否能保持健康資產負債表的關鍵因素。因此,如果您想了解專業人士的想法,您可能會發現這份關於分析師盈利預測的免費報告很有趣。

Of course, First Tractor has a market capitalization of CN¥13.4b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, First Tractor boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

最後,一家公司只能通過真金白銀來償還債務,而不是會計利潤。雖然一拖股份在資產負債表中擁有淨現金,但還是有必要看看它將利息和稅前利潤(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解它建立(或侵蝕)現金餘額的速度。值得股東們高興的是,一拖股份在過去三年中的自由現金流甚至超過了利息和稅前利潤(EBIT)。在維護好與貸方良好關係方面,沒有比入賬現金更好的了。

Also good is that First Tractor grew its EBIT at 20% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine First Tractor's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

雖然一拖股份的流動負債超過了其流動資產,但它也擁有33億元的淨現金。值得注意的是,它的自由現金流達10億元,是其EBIt的242%。所以,一拖股份的債務風險合理嗎?在我們看來,它似乎並不是個問題。當然,在分析債務時,資產負債表是需要關注的領域。然而,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中。這些風險往往很難發現。每個公司都有這些風險,並且我們已經注意到一拖股份的1個警告信號,您應該知道。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While First Tractor has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Happily for any shareholders, First Tractor actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

您想要了解的公司對債務的償還能力只有冰冷的現金流,而不是會計利潤。雖然一拖股份在其資產負債表中擁有淨現金,但它仍有必要看看它將利息和稅前利潤(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解它建立(或侵蝕)現金餘額的速度。值得高興的是,一拖股份在過去三年中的自由現金流甚至超過了利息和稅前利潤(EBIT)。在維護好與貸方良好關係方面,沒有比入賬現金更好的了。

Summing Up

總之

While First Tractor does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of CN¥3.30b. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥1.0b, being 242% of its EBIT. So is First Tractor's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for First Tractor you should know about.

雖然一拖股份的流動負債超過了其流動資產,但它也擁有33億元的淨現金。值得注意的是,它的自由現金流達10億元,是其EBIt的242%。所以,一拖股份的債務風險合理嗎?在我們看來,它似乎並不是個問題。當然,在分析債務時,資產負債表是需要關注的領域。然而,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中。這些風險往往很難發現。每個公司都有這些風險,並且我們已經注意到一拖股份的1個警告信號,您應該知道。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

如果在所有這些之後,您更感興趣的是具有堅實資產負債表的快速增長公司,那麼不要拖延,查看我們的淨現金增長股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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