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Inner Mongolia Junzheng Energy & Chemical GroupLtd (SHSE:601216) Shareholders Have Endured a 13% Loss From Investing in the Stock Three Years Ago

Simply Wall St ·  Aug 12 19:40

Investors are understandably disappointed when a stock they own declines in value. But it can difficult to make money in a declining market. The Inner Mongolia Junzheng Energy & Chemical Group Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:601216) is down 26% over three years, but the total shareholder return is -13% once you include the dividend. That's better than the market which declined 29% over the last three years. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 13% in the last 90 days. Of course, this share price action may well have been influenced by the 12% decline in the broader market, throughout the period.

With that in mind, it's worth seeing if the company's underlying fundamentals have been the driver of long term performance, or if there are some discrepancies.

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

During the three years that the share price fell, Inner Mongolia Junzheng Energy & Chemical GroupLtd's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 21% each year. This fall in the EPS is worse than the 9% compound annual share price fall. So, despite the prior disappointment, shareholders must have some confidence the situation will improve, longer term.

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

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SHSE:601216 Earnings Per Share Growth August 12th 2024

This free interactive report on Inner Mongolia Junzheng Energy & Chemical GroupLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Inner Mongolia Junzheng Energy & Chemical GroupLtd, it has a TSR of -13% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

While it's certainly disappointing to see that Inner Mongolia Junzheng Energy & Chemical GroupLtd shares lost 6.6% throughout the year, that wasn't as bad as the market loss of 18%. Of course, the long term returns are far more important and the good news is that over five years, the stock has returned 12% for each year. In the best case scenario the last year is just a temporary blip on the journey to a brighter future. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Even so, be aware that Inner Mongolia Junzheng Energy & Chemical GroupLtd is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of undervalued small caps that insiders are buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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