When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 17x, you may consider National Beverage Corp. (NASDAQ:FIZZ) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 24x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, National Beverage has been doing quite well of late. The P/E is probably high because investors think the company will continue to navigate the broader market headwinds better than most. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on National Beverage.
Is There Enough Growth For National Beverage?
National Beverage's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 24% last year. However, the latest three year period hasn't been as great in aggregate as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 4.8% each year during the coming three years according to the one analyst following the company. With the market predicted to deliver 11% growth per year, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.
With this information, we find it concerning that National Beverage is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Bottom Line On National Beverage's P/E
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that National Beverage currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for National Beverage that you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on National Beverage, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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