Deere Strong Outlook Expected Despite Risks: Goldman Sachs Weighs In Ahead Of Thursday Earnings
Deere Strong Outlook Expected Despite Risks: Goldman Sachs Weighs In Ahead Of Thursday Earnings
As Deere & Co (NYSE:DE) prepares to release its third-quarter earnings report before the market opens on Thursday, analyst Jerry Revich and team at Goldman Sachs are focusing on the potential risks facing the company's captive finance business in a challenging environment for farmer incomes.
在纽交所上市的Deere & Co (NYSE:DE)将于周四开市前发布第三季度收益报告,高盛的分析师Jerry Revich及其团队将关注该公司在农民收入不断下滑的情况下,其所拥有的财务业务面临的潜在风险。
According to a recent analyst note, the team finds that Deere's finance operations are largely resilient, with a significant portion of its loan portfolio showing minimal risk.
根据最新的分析师报告,团队发现Deere的财务业务在很大程度上是有弹性的,其贷款组合的很大一部分表现出很少的风险。
Deere on Thursday is expected to report EPS of $5.77 on revenue of $10.944 billion.
周四,Deere预计报告每股收益为5.77美元,营业收入为109.44亿美元。
What Investors Need To Know: Goldman Sachs highlights that Deere's captive finance business has demonstrated resilience, with 75% of its loan portfolio exhibiting minimal risk. Wholesale receivables, which make up 25% of the portfolio, have historically experienced negligible losses due to the profitability of dealers and the asset-backed nature of the loans.
投资者需要了解的是:高盛指出,Deere的自有财务业务表现出很强的韧性,其贷款组合中有75%的表现很少的风险。零售应收账款占该组合的25%,由于经销商的盈利能力以及贷款的资产支持性质,它们在历史上经历了很少的损失。
The team at Goldman Sachs projects that peak write-offs could potentially impact EPS by up to 85 cents for fiscal year 2024.
高盛的团队预计,到2024财年的峰值减值会对每股收益产生高达85美分的影响。
Applying the worst-case scenarios from historical credit losses to Deere's current portfolio, Goldman Sachs indicates a possible $235 million reduction in net income, compared to the company's guidance of $770 million for its financial services segment.
按照历史信贷损失的最坏情况应用于Deere现有的组合,高盛指出,净利润可能会减少23500万美元,相比该公司金融服务业务的77000万美元的指导。
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Despite these concerns, Goldman Sachs sees Deere's financial outlook remaining positive. The company is expected to generate revenues of approximately $45.1 billion for the fiscal year ending October 2024, with gradual growth anticipated in subsequent years.
尽管存在这些担忧,高盛仍然看好Deere的财务前景。预计该公司将在截至2024年10月的财政年度实现约451亿美元的收益,并预计在随后的几年中逐渐增长。
The stock is currently trading at 14 times the mid-cycle EPS estimate of $24.50, presenting a favorable risk-reward ratio, particularly as the market stabilizes from its current trough.
该股票目前以14倍周期中的每股收益估算值24.50美元交易,呈现出良好的风险回报比,特别是当市场从目前的低位稳定时。
What Else: Goldman Sachs believes Deere's strong positioning is supported by its investment in Precision Agriculture technologies and a reduction in used equipment inventories by 5% over the past three months. However, the company faces potential risks from adverse weather conditions affecting crop yields, inventory build-ups in China, and ongoing supply chain constraints.
还有什么:高盛认为,Deere的底气十足得到了其对精密农业技术的投资以及过去三个月内减少了5%的二手设备库存的支持。然而,该公司面临来自影响作物产量的恶劣天气条件、中国库存增加以及持续的供应链约束的潜在风险。
Goldman Sachs maintains a Buy rating on Deere, with a 12-month price target of $466, based on a valuation of 19 times the mid-cycle EPS estimate. The outlook reflects confidence in Deere's ability to navigate through cyclical challenges and leverage its strong market position for continued earnings growth.
高盛维持对Deere的买入评级,12个月的价格目标为466美元,基于周期中EPS估计值19倍的估值。该展望反映了对Deere在应对周期性挑战和利用其强大的市场地位实现持续盈利增长的能力的信心。
Price Action: DE, which was trading at $352.02 on Wednesday, has a 52-week high of $435.74 and a 52-week low of $340.20.
价格行动:DE周三的交易价格为352.02美元,52周最高为435.74美元,52周最低为340.20美元。
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Photo: shutterstock