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Why Acter Technology Integration Group's (SHSE:603163) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

Why Acter Technology Integration Group's (SHSE:603163) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

Acter 科技集团(SHSE:603163)的不稳定收益只是它的问题开端
Simply Wall St ·  08/14 18:48

Last week's earnings announcement from Acter Technology Integration Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603163) was disappointing to investors, with a sluggish profit figure. Our analysis has found some reasons to be concerned, beyond the weak headline numbers.

上周Acter Technology Integration Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603163)的收益公告令投资者失望,盈利数据表现疲软。我们的分析发现,除了弱势的头条数字之外,还有其他值得关注的原因。

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SHSE:603163 Earnings and Revenue History August 14th 2024
SHSE:603163盈利和营业收入历史记录2024年8月14日

Zooming In On Acter Technology Integration Group's Earnings

深入解析Acter Technology Integration Group的盈利

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

在高金融领域,用来衡量一家公司如何将报告的利润转换为自由现金流(FCF)的主要比率是应计比率(来自现金流)。应计比率从给定期间的自由现金流中减去利润,并将结果除以该公司在该期间内的平均营运资产。该比率显示了一家公司的利润超过其自由现金流的程度。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,当公司的应计比率为负时,实际上是一件好事,但如果其应计比率为正,则是一件坏事。虽然应计比率为零以上的事情无关紧要,但我们认为当公司的应计比率相对较高时,值得注意。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年发表的一篇论文:“应计越高的公司未来利润率越低”。

For the year to June 2024, Acter Technology Integration Group had an accrual ratio of 0.31. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, raising questions about how useful that profit figure really is. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥28m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥118.5m. We saw that FCF was CN¥193m a year ago though, so Acter Technology Integration Group has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past. The good news for shareholders is that Acter Technology Integration Group's accrual ratio was much better last year, so this year's poor reading might simply be a case of a short term mismatch between profit and FCF. Shareholders should look for improved cashflow relative to profit in the current year, if that is indeed the case.

截至2024年6月,Acter Technology Integration Group的应计比率为0.31。因此,我们知道它的自由现金流显着低于留存盈利,这引发了对留存盈利真正有用性的质疑。在过去的一年中,它的自由现金流实际上是负的,为CN¥2800万,而盈利为CN¥11850万。虽然如此,一年前它的自由现金流为CN¥19300万,所以Acter Technology Integration Group至少过去能够产生正的自由现金流。股东们的好消息是,Acter Technology Integration Group的应计比率去年要好得多,因此今年的差劲表现可能只是留存盈利与自由现金流短期不匹配的情况。如果真的是这样的话,股东们应该寻找当前年度中留存盈利相对于自由现金流的改善。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

这可能会让您想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看基于其估计的未来盈利能力的互动图表。

Our Take On Acter Technology Integration Group's Profit Performance

我们对Acter Technology Integration Group的盈利表现有以下评价

Acter Technology Integration Group didn't convert much of its profit to free cash flow in the last year, which some investors may consider rather suboptimal. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Acter Technology Integration Group's true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. In further bad news, its earnings per share decreased in the last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. For example, we've found that Acter Technology Integration Group has 2 warning signs (1 is a bit concerning!) that deserve your attention before going any further with your analysis.

在过去的一年中,Acter Technology Integration Group的盈利并未转化为多少自由现金流,这使一些投资者可能认为这相当不理想。因此,我们认为Acter Technology Integration Group的真正基本盈利能力实际上比其留存盈利要低。进一步的坏消息是,它的每股盈利在过去的一年中有所下降。当然,在分析其收益时,我们只触及了表面问题,还有其他因素,如利润率、预测增长和投资回报等,也需要考虑。因此,如果您想深入了解这只股票,必须考虑它面临的任何风险。例如,我们发现Acter Technology Integration Group存在2个 警示信号(1个有点令人担忧!)在深入分析之前值得您关注。

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Acter Technology Integration Group's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

今天我们关注了一条单一的数据点,以更好地了解Acter Technology Integration Group的盈利性质。但是还有许多其他方法可以了解一家公司。一些人认为高股东回报率是一家优质企业的良好标志。虽然这可能需要您做一些调研,但您可能会发现这个免费的高股东回报率公司集合,或这份拥有重要内部持股的股票清单也很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

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