Zhengzhou Tiamaes Technology Co.,Ltd (SZSE:300807) shares have retraced a considerable 30% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. Indeed, the recent drop has reduced its annual gain to a relatively sedate 3.4% over the last twelve months.
Although its price has dipped substantially, when almost half of the companies in China's Electronic industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.2x, you may still consider Zhengzhou Tiamaes TechnologyLtd as a stock not worth researching with its 9.1x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
How Has Zhengzhou Tiamaes TechnologyLtd Performed Recently?
For example, consider that Zhengzhou Tiamaes TechnologyLtd's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Zhengzhou Tiamaes TechnologyLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Zhengzhou Tiamaes TechnologyLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 31%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 3.3% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 25% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this information, we find it concerning that Zhengzhou Tiamaes TechnologyLtd is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From Zhengzhou Tiamaes TechnologyLtd's P/S?
A significant share price dive has done very little to deflate Zhengzhou Tiamaes TechnologyLtd's very lofty P/S. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Zhengzhou Tiamaes TechnologyLtd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Zhengzhou Tiamaes TechnologyLtd, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.