Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co., Ltd (SZSE:300599) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 39% after a shaky period beforehand. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 14% over that time.
Although its price has surged higher, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group's P/S ratio of 2.1x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Chemicals industry in China is also close to 1.8x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
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How Has Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Performed Recently?
For example, consider that Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 25% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 46% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 24% shows it's an unpleasant look.
In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Final Word
Its shares have lifted substantially and now Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group's P/S is back within range of the industry median. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We find it unexpected that Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group trades at a P/S ratio that is comparable to the rest of the industry, despite experiencing declining revenues during the medium-term, while the industry as a whole is expected to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group (2 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.