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Investors in New JCM GroupLtd (SZSE:300157) From Five Years Ago Are Still Down 43%, Even After 35% Gain This Past Week

Simply Wall St ·  Aug 14 20:52

New JCM Group Co.,Ltd (SZSE:300157) shareholders will doubtless be very grateful to see the share price up 42% in the last month. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last five years have been less than pleasing. In fact, the share price is down 43%, which falls well short of the return you could get by buying an index fund.

On a more encouraging note the company has added CN¥486m to its market cap in just the last 7 days, so let's see if we can determine what's driven the five-year loss for shareholders.

New JCM GroupLtd isn't currently profitable, so most analysts would look to revenue growth to get an idea of how fast the underlying business is growing. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. As you can imagine, fast revenue growth, when maintained, often leads to fast profit growth.

Over half a decade New JCM GroupLtd reduced its trailing twelve month revenue by 17% for each year. That puts it in an unattractive cohort, to put it mildly. It seems pretty reasonable to us that the share price dipped 7% per year in that time. We doubt many shareholders are delighted with this share price performance. It is possible for businesses to bounce back but as Buffett says, 'turnarounds seldom turn'.

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

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SZSE:300157 Earnings and Revenue Growth August 15th 2024

If you are thinking of buying or selling New JCM GroupLtd stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

A Different Perspective

While the broader market lost about 17% in the twelve months, New JCM GroupLtd shareholders did even worse, losing 21%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 7% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Even so, be aware that New JCM GroupLtd is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

We will like New JCM GroupLtd better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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