The QuickLogic Corporation (NASDAQ:QUIK) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 33%. Indeed, the recent drop has reduced its annual gain to a relatively sedate 4.3% over the last twelve months.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, QuickLogic may still be sending bearish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 4.9x, since almost half of all companies in the Semiconductor in the United States have P/S ratios under 4x and even P/S lower than 1.6x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.
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How Has QuickLogic Performed Recently?
Recent times haven't been great for QuickLogic as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to undergo a reversal of fortunes, which has elevated the P/S ratio. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on QuickLogic.Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For QuickLogic?
QuickLogic's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 66% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 158% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 16% during the coming year according to the dual analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 43%, which is noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's alarming that QuickLogic's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Final Word
There's still some elevation in QuickLogic's P/S, even if the same can't be said for its share price recently. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Despite analysts forecasting some poorer-than-industry revenue growth figures for QuickLogic, this doesn't appear to be impacting the P/S in the slightest. The weakness in the company's revenue estimate doesn't bode well for the elevated P/S, which could take a fall if the revenue sentiment doesn't improve. At these price levels, investors should remain cautious, particularly if things don't improve.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with QuickLogic, and understanding should be part of your investment process.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.