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AustralianSuper's Win for Origin Shareholders

AustralianSuper's Win for Origin Shareholders

澳大利亞超級基金爲Origin股東贏得勝利
sharecafe ·  08/15 02:03

AustralianSuper's strong opposition to Origin Energy (ASX:ORG) folding and agreeing to be bought late last year by a joint venture of Canadian and US investors has certainly paid off for Origin shareholders.

去年年底,AustralianSuper強烈反對Origin Energy(澳大利亞證券交易所股票代碼:ORG)倒閉並同意被加拿大和美國投資者組成的合資企業收購,這無疑爲Origin的股東帶來了回報。

The final price in the offer from the two bidders was $9.53 each, and Origin's shares were up 11% from that level at Wednesday's close of $10.60—that's better than inflation.

兩位競標者的報價的最終價格爲每人9.53美元,Origin的股價較週三收盤價10.60美元上漲了11%,好於通貨膨脹。

More importantly, Thursday's annual result revealed millions of dollars in revenue and earnings that would have accrued to the bidders, not the shareholders of Origin.

更重要的是,週四的年度業績顯示,數百萬美元的收入和收益本應歸於競標者,而不是Origin的股東。

And, wait, there's more: Shareholders will get a 78% jump in total dividend for the year to 55 cents a share, from 36.5 cents for 2022-23, with a final dividend of 27.5 cents a share—more than 33% above the 20 cents paid as the final a year ago.

而且,等等,還有更多:股東今年的總股息將從2022-23年的36.5美分增長78%至每股55美分,末期股息爲27.5美分,比去年年底支付的20美分高33%以上。

So, all thanks to AustralianSuper, which still holds more than 15% of Origin. It also saved the Origin board from making a very stupid mistake and selling the company too cheaply.

因此,這一切都要歸功於AustralianSuper,它仍然持有Origin超過15%的股份。它還使Origin董事會免於犯一個非常愚蠢的錯誤,也免於以過低的價格出售公司。

But the surge in revenue, earnings, and dividends is likely to be a nice, one-off bonus for Origin and the power sector. On Wednesday, AGL reported what it said was a one-off surge in earnings and revenue but made it clear that would not happen this year. On Thursday, it was rival Origin Energy's turn to reveal a surge in revenue and earnings, which it said would not return for a repeat run.

但是,對於Origin和電力行業來說,收入、收益和股息的激增可能是一筆不錯的一次性獎勵。週三,AGL報告了其所說的收益和收入的一次性增長,但明確表示今年不會發生這種情況。週四,輪到競爭對手Origin Energy透露收入和收益的激增了,該公司表示不會重蹈覆轍。

Origin revealed a near one-third rise in profits for the year, as earnings soared in its energy generation, retail, and gas businesses. But CEO Frank Calabria said he expects profits to fall in energy markets—which includes generation, retail, and trading—in the coming year, which is what AGL pointed to on Wednesday.

Origin透露,由於其能源發電、零售和天然氣業務的收益飆升,該年度的利潤增長了近三分之一。但首席執行官弗蘭克·卡拉布里亞表示,他預計來年能源市場(包括髮電、零售和貿易)的利潤將下降,AGL週三指出了這一點。

Origin reported a net profit of $1.397 billion for the year to June 30, up from $1.055 billion in 2022-23. Underlying earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortisation (EBITDA), a measure of core company profitability, rose to $3.528 billion from $3.107 billion. The underlying profit increased to $1.183 billion, $436 million higher than the prior year, on higher earnings in the Energy Markets and Integrated Gas divisions.

Origin報告稱,截至6月30日的年度淨利潤爲13.97億美元,高於2022-23年的10.55億美元。衡量核心公司盈利能力的扣除利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的基礎收益(EBITDA)從31.07億美元增至35.28億美元。由於能源市場和綜合天然氣部門的收益增加,基礎利潤增至11.83億美元,比上年增長4.36億美元。

"We are acutely aware of the pressure on household budgets at this time given the rising cost of living," Mr Calabria said in Thursday's release. He said Origin was supporting its most vulnerable customers with $100 million committed this year and next, including a freeze on tariffs for these accounts. "An important factor in helping to keep downward pressure on prices is ensuring reliable energy, and it is pleasing to see how well our generation fleet performed," he said.

卡拉布里亞在週四的新聞稿中說:「鑑於生活成本的上漲,我們敏銳地意識到目前家庭預算面臨的壓力。」他說,Origin承諾在今年和明年爲其最脆弱的客戶提供1億美元,包括凍結這些帳戶的資費。他說:「幫助保持價格下行壓力的一個重要因素是確保可靠的能源,很高興看到我們的發電機隊表現如何。」

The company revealed that output from the ageing Eraring coal-fired power station, set to keep running until August 2027 under a deal struck with the NSW government, rose by 2.1 terawatt hours to 14.3 TWh. Australia Pacific LNG production (from Queensland) rose 3% to 694 petajoules, with 150PJ sold into the domestic market in the June year.

該公司透露,根據與新南威爾士州政府達成的協議,老化的埃拉林燃煤電站的產量將增長2.1太瓦時至14.3太瓦時,該發電站將持續運行至2027年8月。澳大利亞太平洋液化天然氣產量(來自昆士蘭州)增長了3%,達到694千兆焦耳,今年6月向國內市場出售了150PJ。

Higher earnings lifted free cash flow to $1.296 billion, from $965 million in the previous financial year, partly to cover the cost of the country's transition from fossil fuels.

更高的收益使自由現金流從上一財年的9.65億美元提高到12.96億美元,部分原因是爲了彌補該國從化石燃料過渡的成本。

CEO Calabria said the balance sheet remains strong, with good cash generation supporting an increase in returns to shareholders and enabling capital to be reinvested into renewables and energy storage.

首席執行官卡拉布里亞表示,資產負債表仍然強勁,良好的現金產生支持了股東回報的增加,並使資本能夠再投資於可再生能源和儲能。

Origin said it expects higher electricity demand due to electrification, the uptake of electric vehicles, and the expansion of data centres. But like AGL, 2023-24 was as good as it gets, with Origin saying the coming year's outlook for earnings looks weaker with electricity profit forecast to fall as tariffs ease and on higher coal costs.

Origin表示,預計由於電氣化、電動汽車的普及和數據中心的擴張,電力需求將增加。但是,與AGL一樣,2023-24年度表現良好,Origin表示,隨着費率的放鬆和煤炭成本的上漲,預計電力利潤將下降,來年的收益前景看起來疲軟。

Moody's Ratings liked the Origin result, saying in a note on Thursday, "Origin's strong results for fiscal year 2024 are credit positive, benefiting from higher customer electricity prices that incorporated higher wholesale (generation) costs of previous years. The resulting strong cash flow translates into healthy credit metrics, solidly positioning Origin at its present rating level, notwithstanding its transition and customer-oriented growth investment pipeline as well as its recent decision to lift its dividend payout ratio. The company's credit metrics, while remaining strong, are likely to moderate as retail electricity margins retreat on lower wholesale and retail cost allowances, and given the end of Australia's legislated coal price cap."

穆迪評級喜歡Origin的業績,他在週四的一份報告中表示:「Origin在2024財年的強勁業績是信貸利好的,這得益於客戶電價的上漲,加上前幾年的批發(發電)成本上漲。由此產生的強勁現金流轉化爲健康的信貸指標,使Origin穩步維持在目前的評級水平,儘管其過渡和以客戶爲導向的增長投資渠道,而且最近決定提高股息支付率。該公司的信貸指標雖然保持強勁,但隨着批發和零售成本補貼的降低以及澳大利亞立法煤炭價格上限的終止,零售電力利潤率可能會放緩。」

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