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Is Suzhou Victory Precision Manufacture (SZSE:002426) A Risky Investment?

Is Suzhou Victory Precision Manufacture (SZSE:002426) A Risky Investment?

勝利精密(SZSE:002426)是否具有投資風險?
Simply Wall St ·  08/15 23:49

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Suzhou Victory Precision Manufacture Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002426) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

David Iben說得對,'波動性並不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本的永久損失。' 因此,聰明的資金知道,債務(通常涉及破產)是評估公司風險性時非常重要的因素。與許多其他公司一樣,蘇州勝利精密製造股份有限公司(SZSE:002426)利用債務。但股東應該擔心該公司對債務的使用嗎?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

債務協助企業直到企業有困難用新資本或自由現金流償還債務。如果公司無法履行法律還債的義務,股東可能一無所有。然而,一種更普遍但仍然昂貴的情況是,公司必須以低廉的股票價格稀釋股東,僅僅爲了控制債務。但是,通過替換稀釋,債務可以成爲需要高回報投資增長資本的企業非常好的工具。當我們考慮公司使用債務的時候,我們首先看現金和債務的總和。

How Much Debt Does Suzhou Victory Precision Manufacture Carry?

蘇州勝利精密製造承載了多少債務?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Suzhou Victory Precision Manufacture had CN¥1.92b in debt in March 2024; about the same as the year before. However, it does have CN¥452.4m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥1.47b.

下圖顯示,蘇州勝利精密製造在2024年3月有19.2億人民幣的債務,與前一年大致相同。但是,它有45240萬人民幣的現金來抵消這筆債務,導致淨債務約爲14.7億人民幣。

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SZSE:002426 Debt to Equity History August 16th 2024
SZSE:002426負債權益歷史數據2024年8月16日

A Look At Suzhou Victory Precision Manufacture's Liabilities

了解勝利精密製造的負債情況

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Suzhou Victory Precision Manufacture had liabilities of CN¥3.79b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥242.0m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥452.4m and CN¥1.34b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥2.24b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

我們可以從最近的資產負債表上看到,勝利精密製造的負債中,有379億人民幣是一年內到期的,還有24200萬人民幣是超過一年到期的。另一方面,公司有45240萬人民幣的現金和134億人民幣的應收賬款在一年內到期。所以,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的組合多了224億人民幣。

This deficit isn't so bad because Suzhou Victory Precision Manufacture is worth CN¥5.82b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Suzhou Victory Precision Manufacture will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

這個赤字並不太糟糕,因爲勝利精密製造市值582億人民幣,因此可能能夠籌集足夠的資金來補充其資產負債表,如果有需要的話。但我們絕對要密切關注是否有跡象表明其債務帶來了太多風險。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中能了解到最多關於債務的信息。但你不能將債務完全孤立看待;因爲勝利精密製造需要盈利來償還債務。因此,如果您想了解更多關於其盈利方面的信息,不妨查看一下其長期盈利趨勢的圖表。

In the last year Suzhou Victory Precision Manufacture had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 13%, to CN¥3.5b. We would much prefer see growth.

在過去的一年裏,勝利精密製造利息和稅前虧損,實際上減少了13%的營業收入,降至350億人民幣。我們更希望看到增長。

Caveat Emptor

買方自負。

Not only did Suzhou Victory Precision Manufacture's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). To be specific the EBIT loss came in at CN¥391m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. We would feel better if it turned its trailing twelve month loss of CN¥807m into a profit. So we do think this stock is quite risky. When we look at a riskier company, we like to check how their profits (or losses) are trending over time. Today, we're providing readers this interactive graph showing how Suzhou Victory Precision Manufacture's profit, revenue, and operating cashflow have changed over the last few years.

在過去的十二個月裏,勝利精密製造的營業收入不僅下滑,而且還出現了利息和稅前虧損(EBIT)。具體來說,EBIT虧損達到了39100萬人民幣。考慮到上述提到的負債,使我們對該公司過多使用債務缺乏信心。坦率地說,我們認爲資產負債表遠未達到理想狀態,雖然隨着時間的推移可以改善。如果能夠將其過去12個月的80700萬人民幣的虧損轉爲盈利,我們會感到更安心。所以我們認爲這隻股票相當風險。當我們審視一個風險更高的公司時,我們喜歡檢查他們的盈利(或虧損)是如何隨時間變化的。今天,我們爲讀者提供這個交互式圖表,展示勝利精密製造的利潤、營業收入和經營現金流過去幾年的變化情況。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

歸根結底,專注於沒有淨債務的公司往往更好。您可以訪問我們的特別列表,其中包括所有表現出盈利增長軌跡的公司。這是免費的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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