While not a mind-blowing move, it is good to see that the Smartsheet Inc. (NYSE:SMAR) share price has gained 16% in the last three months. But that cannot eclipse the less-than-impressive returns over the last three years. Truth be told the share price declined 32% in three years and that return, Dear Reader, falls short of what you could have got from passive investing with an index fund.
Although the past week has been more reassuring for shareholders, they're still in the red over the last three years, so let's see if the underlying business has been responsible for the decline.
Smartsheet wasn't profitable in the last twelve months, it is unlikely we'll see a strong correlation between its share price and its earnings per share (EPS). Arguably revenue is our next best option. When a company doesn't make profits, we'd generally hope to see good revenue growth. As you can imagine, fast revenue growth, when maintained, often leads to fast profit growth.
Over three years, Smartsheet grew revenue at 28% per year. That's well above most other pre-profit companies. While its revenue increased, the share price dropped at a rate of 10% per year. That seems like an unlucky result for holders. It's possible that the prior share price assumed unrealistically high future growth. Still, with high hopes now tempered, now might prove to be an opportunity to buy.
The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
![big](https://usnewsfile.moomoo.com/public/MM-PersistNewsContentImage/7781/20240816/0-c1045cdd7422f199b0e9c69e39c2084d-0-6458dfeaacd74c632f7cb8e5fe4b1f39.png/big)
Smartsheet is well known by investors, and plenty of clever analysts have tried to predict the future profit levels. If you are thinking of buying or selling Smartsheet stock, you should check out this free report showing analyst consensus estimates for future profits.
A Different Perspective
Smartsheet provided a TSR of 24% over the last twelve months. But that was short of the market average. But at least that's still a gain! Over five years the TSR has been a reduction of 1.1% per year, over five years. So this might be a sign the business has turned its fortunes around. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Smartsheet that you should be aware of before investing here.
Of course Smartsheet may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.