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What Hua Ying Technology (Gruop) Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:000536) 32% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

華英テクノロジー(グループ有限会社)の株価が32%上昇している理由について伝えないこと

Simply Wall St ·  08/16 18:41

Hua Ying Technology (Gruop) Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000536) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 32% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 36% in the last year.

Since its price has surged higher, given close to half the companies operating in China's Electronic industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.3x, you may consider Hua Ying Technology (Gruop) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 4.3x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.

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SZSE:000536 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 16th 2024

What Does Hua Ying Technology (Gruop)'s Recent Performance Look Like?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Hua Ying Technology (Gruop) over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Hua Ying Technology (Gruop)'s earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Hua Ying Technology (Gruop)'s to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 13% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 34% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 25% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

In light of this, it's alarming that Hua Ying Technology (Gruop)'s P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Final Word

Hua Ying Technology (Gruop) shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of Hua Ying Technology (Gruop) revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Hua Ying Technology (Gruop) you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Hua Ying Technology (Gruop)'s business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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