Sichuan Crun Co., Ltd (SZSE:002272) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 29% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 13% over that time.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, given about half the companies operating in China's Machinery industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 2.4x, you may still consider Sichuan Crun as an attractive investment with its 1.6x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
What Does Sichuan Crun's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
For example, consider that Sichuan Crun's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Sichuan Crun, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Is Sichuan Crun's Revenue Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Sichuan Crun's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 5.0% decrease to the company's top line. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 11% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 22% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
With this information, we can see why Sichuan Crun is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Key Takeaway
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Sichuan Crun's P/S close to the industry median. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of Sichuan Crun confirms that the company's revenue trends over the past three-year years are a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, as we suspected, given they fall short of current industry expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price experience a reversal of fortunes anytime soon.
It is also worth noting that we have found 4 warning signs for Sichuan Crun (2 are a bit concerning!) that you need to take into consideration.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Sichuan Crun, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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