China Zhenhua (Group) Science & Technology Co., Ltd's (SZSE:000733) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 10.2x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 28x and even P/E's above 53x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.
While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, China Zhenhua (Group) Science & Technology's earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It seems that many are expecting the dour earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
Is There Any Growth For China Zhenhua (Group) Science & Technology?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like China Zhenhua (Group) Science & Technology's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 20%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 157% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the four analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 11% per annum over the next three years. With the market predicted to deliver 24% growth per year, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.
With this information, we can see why China Zhenhua (Group) Science & Technology is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
The Key Takeaway
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As we suspected, our examination of China Zhenhua (Group) Science & Technology's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for China Zhenhua (Group) Science & Technology that you should be aware of.
You might be able to find a better investment than China Zhenhua (Group) Science & Technology. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.