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Riskified Ltd. (NYSE:RSKD) Not Doing Enough For Some Investors As Its Shares Slump 27%

リスキファイド(nyse:RSKD)は、株価が27%下落するなか、一部の投資家に対して十分なことをしていないようです。

Simply Wall St ·  08/17 09:57

The Riskified Ltd. (NYSE:RSKD) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 27%. The last month has meant the stock is now only up 5.7% during the last year.

Since its price has dipped substantially, Riskified may be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.6x, since almost half of all companies in the Software industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 4.7x and even P/S higher than 11x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

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NYSE:RSKD Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 17th 2024

How Riskified Has Been Performing

With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Riskified has been relatively sluggish. Perhaps the market is expecting the current trend of poor revenue growth to continue, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Riskified.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Riskified would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 9.5% gain to the company's revenues. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 51% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 9.0% as estimated by the eight analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 23% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in consideration, its clear as to why Riskified's P/S is falling short industry peers. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Key Takeaway

Riskified's P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Riskified's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Riskified you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Riskified's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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