share_log

Glodon Company Limited's (SZSE:002410) Shares Lagging The Industry But So Is The Business

Simply Wall St ·  Aug 17 20:19

With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.5x Glodon Company Limited (SZSE:002410) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all the Software companies in China have P/S ratios greater than 4.3x and even P/S higher than 7x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

big
SZSE:002410 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 18th 2024

How Has Glodon Performed Recently?

Glodon could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. Perhaps the P/S remains low as investors think the prospects of strong revenue growth aren't on the horizon. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Glodon will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Glodon?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Glodon's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 6.3% decrease to the company's top line. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 42% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 10% per annum as estimated by the analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 20% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this information, we can see why Glodon is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Final Word

While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Glodon's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Glodon that you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
    Write a comment