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CK Asset Holdings Limited Just Recorded A 35% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

CK Asset Holdings Limited Just Recorded A 35% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

長實集團僅記錄了35%的每股收益超出預期:下一步分析師預測。
Simply Wall St ·  08/17 20:30

CK Asset Holdings Limited (HKG:1113) last week reported its latest half-year results, which makes it a good time for investors to dive in and see if the business is performing in line with expectations. Revenues of HK$22b fell slightly short of expectations, but earnings were a definite bright spot, with statutory per-share profits of HK$2.44 an impressive 35% ahead of estimates. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.

長實集團(HKG:1113)上週公佈了其最新的半年度業績,這是投資者深入研究業務是否符合預期的好時機。 營業收入爲220億港元,稍微低於預期,但收益是一個明顯的亮點,每股收益(HK$2.44)的法定盈利超出預期35%。收益是投資者的重要時機,因爲他們可以跟蹤公司的表現,查看分析師對明年的預測,並查看對公司的情緒是否發生變化。 因此,我們收集了最新的市場consensus預估,以了解明年的情況可能會發生什麼。

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SEHK:1113 Earnings and Revenue Growth August 18th 2024
SEHK:1113 2024年8月18日盈利和營收增長

After the latest results, the ten analysts covering CK Asset Holdings are now predicting revenues of HK$49.6b in 2024. If met, this would reflect a solid 11% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are forecast to shrink 7.9% to HK$4.11 in the same period. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of HK$50.1b and earnings per share (EPS) of HK$4.04 in 2024. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.

在最新的業績公佈後,覆蓋長實集團的10位分析師預測公司2024年的營業收入將達到496億港元。如果達到目標,則與過去12個月相比,該收入將增長11%。同時,法定每股收益預計在該期間縮水7.9%至HK$4.11。 但是,在最新的收益公佈之前,分析師之前對2024年的營收預計爲501億港元,earnings per share (EPS)預計爲HK$4.04。consensus預計分析師似乎沒有從這些結果中看到任何改變,因爲他們對公司的預估沒有太大變化。

It will come as no surprise then, to learn that the consensus price target is largely unchanged at HK$36.73. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. The most optimistic CK Asset Holdings analyst has a price target of HK$45.00 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at HK$31.00. This shows there is still a bit of diversity in estimates, but analysts don't appear to be totally split on the stock as though it might be a success or failure situation.

你應該毫不意外地了解到,consensus價值目標基本沒有變化,仍爲HK$36.73。查看分析師的預估範圍可能也很有啓發性,以評估離群分析師意見與平均意見有多不同。最樂觀的長實集團分析師將股票價格定爲每股HK$45.00,而最悲觀的分析師則將其定爲每股HK$31.00。這表明估值仍存在差異,但分析師對股票似乎沒有完全分歧,也不認爲可能成爲成功或失敗的情況。

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. For example, we noticed that CK Asset Holdings' rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with revenues forecast to exhibit 23% growth to the end of 2024 on an annualised basis. That is well above its historical decline of 10% a year over the past five years. Compare this against analyst estimates for the broader industry, which suggest that (in aggregate) industry revenues are expected to grow 5.5% annually. Not only are CK Asset Holdings' revenues expected to improve, it seems that the analysts are also expecting it to grow faster than the wider industry.

更多背景了解這些預測的方法之一是比較過去的業績以及同行業其他公司的表現。例如,我們發現長實集團的增長速度預計將顯著加快,預計營收將在2024年以年化基礎上增長23%。這遠高於其過去五年年均下降10%的歷史數據。與整個行業的分析師預估相比,長實集團的營收預計不僅會有所提高,而且分析師還預計它將比整個行業增長更快。

The Bottom Line

最重要的事情是分析師增加了它對下一年每股虧損的估計。令人欣慰的是,營收預測未發生重大變化,業務仍有望比整個行業增長更快。共識價格目標穩定在28.50美元,最新估計不足以對價格目標產生影響。

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at HK$36.73, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

最重要的是,情緒沒有發生重大變化,分析師重申公司的營收和盈利預測與他們此前的預估相符。幸運的是,他們還重申了營收預算,這表明它符合預期。此外,我們的數據表明,收入預計將比整個行業增長更快。consensus價值目標穩定在HK$36.73,最新的預估沒有對其價格目標產生影響。

With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on CK Asset Holdings. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. We have estimates - from multiple CK Asset Holdings analysts - going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

這在考慮到本公司的長期盈利能力比明年的盈利更重要時,我們不應該過早得出關於長實集團的結論。我們有來自多位長實集團分析師的預估報告,時間跨度到2026年,您可以在我們的平台上免費查看。

You should always think about risks though. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for CK Asset Holdings you should be aware of.

不過,你應該始終考慮風險。例如,我們發現有二個警示風險的跡象,你需要注意。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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