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Investors Aren't Buying Anhui Gujing Distillery Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:000596) Earnings

投資家は安徽古井酒業株式会社(SZSE:000596)の収益を買っていない

Simply Wall St ·  08/17 20:58

When close to half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 28x, you may consider Anhui Gujing Distillery Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000596) as an attractive investment with its 18.8x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Recent times have been advantageous for Anhui Gujing Distillery as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings performance might be less impressive moving forward. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

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SZSE:000596 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry August 18th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Anhui Gujing Distillery will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Anhui Gujing Distillery's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 41% gain to the company's bottom line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 138% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 20% each year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 24% per year, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we can see why Anhui Gujing Distillery is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Anhui Gujing Distillery's P/E?

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Anhui Gujing Distillery maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Anhui Gujing Distillery (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that you need to take into consideration.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Anhui Gujing Distillery, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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