share_log

The Stock Market Has Been Weird: Here's What Warren Buffett Is Doing

The Stock Market Has Been Weird: Here's What Warren Buffett Is Doing

股市一片混乱:沃伦·巴菲特正在做什么
The Motley Fool ·  08/18 09:15

Warren Buffett is arguably the most popular investor in the world. Also known as the Oracle of Omaha, Buffett has beaten the broader markets by a wide margin for roughly seven decades. Wall Street closely watches the investments made by Buffett as the billionaire has successfully generated significant gains over time.

沃伦•巴菲特是世界上最受欢迎的投资者,也被称为奥马哈的神谕者。7个十年里,巴菲特打败了更广泛的市场。华尔街密切关注巴菲特的投资,因为这位亿万富翁成功地产生了显著的收益。

Now, Buffett is the chairman of Berkshire Hathaway, a conglomerate that holds several investments in publicly listed companies. According to recent SEC filings, Berkshire reduced its stake in Apple and Bank of America in the second quarter (Q2) of 2024, increasing its cash pile to US$277 billion. Apple and Bank of America were Berkshire's two largest holdings and the move has surprised investors.

现在,巴菲特是伯克希尔哈撒韦公司的董事长,这是一个拥有多个上市公司投资的综合企业。根据最近的SEC文件,伯克希尔在2024年第二季度(Q2)减少了在苹果和美国银行的持股,将其现金储备增加到了270亿美元。苹果和美国银行是伯克希尔的两个最大持股,这一举动让投资者感到惊讶。

It's possible that Buffett was worried about the possibility of an upcoming recession and would have liked to have significant balance sheet cash to buy quality companies at a discount when markets pull back. For example, the unemployment rate in the U.S. has increased to 4.3% as companies continue to wrestle with headwinds such as geopolitical tensions, inflation, high interest rates, and volatile commodity prices.

巴菲特可能担心即将到来的经济衰退,希望有大量的资产负债表现金,以便在市场回调时以折扣价购买优质公司。例如,美国的失业率已经升至4.3%,企业继续努力应对地缘政治矛盾、通货膨胀、高利率和波动的商品价格等挑战。

Alternatively, Berkshire has significantly increased its position in Occidental Petroleum (NYSE:OXY) in the last three years. In Q1 of 2024, Berkshire purchased three million shares of Occidental raising its stake in the company to almost 29%. Today, Occidental is a core position of Warren Buffett's equity portfolio. Let's see why.

或者,伯克希尔在过去的三年中显著增加了对西方石油(NYSE:OXY)的持股。在2024年Q1,伯克希尔购买了西方石油的三百万股,将其对该公司的持股比例提高到近29%。如今,西方石油是沃伦•巴菲特股票投资组合的核心持仓。让我们看看原因。

An overview of Occidental Petroleum

西方石油概述

Valued at US$51.4 billion by market cap, Occidental Petroleum is engaged in the acquisition, exploration, and development of oil and gas properties in the U.S., the Middle East, and Africa. It has three business segments that include:

西方石油的市值为514亿美元,从事美国、中东和非洲石油和天然气资源的收购、勘探和开发。它有三个业务部门,包括:

  • Oil and Gas: The business explores for, develops, and produces oil and condensate, natural gas liquids, and natural gas.
  • Chemicals: The segment manufactures and markets basic chemicals and vinyls.
  • Midstream and Marketing: It gathers, processes, transports, stores, and markets oil condensates, natural gas liquids, natural gas, carbon dioxide, and power.
  • 石油和天然气:业务勘探、开发和生产油和凝析油、天然气液体和天然气。
  • 化学品:这个部门生产和销售基础化学品和乙烯。
  • 中游和营销:它收集、处理、运输、存储和营销油凝析油、天然气液体、天然气、二氧化碳和电力。

Occidental Petroleum is well-diversified

西方石油的多元化程度很高

Occidental Petroleum has a robust stream of cash-generating assets, allowing it to pay shareholders an annual dividend of US$0.88 per share, indicating a yield of 1.6%. Due to its sizeable investment in Occidental stock, Berkshire Hathaway earns close to US$225 million annually via dividends.

西方石油拥有强大的现金流资产,使其能够向股东支付每股0.88美元的年度股息,表明股息率为1.6%。由于在西方石油股票的投资规模很大,伯克希尔哈撒韦公司每年通过股息获得近2.25亿美元的收益。

Strong performance across business segments allowed Occidental Petroleum to report a free cash flow of over US$700 million in Q1 of 2024. Comparatively, it paid shareholders a quarterly dividend of US$332 million, indicating a payout ratio of less than 50%.

西方石油在2024年Q1表现强劲,所有业务部门均表现良好,自由现金流超过7000万美元。相比之下,它向股东支付了3.32亿美元的季度股息,表明支付比率不到50%。

The company's free cash flow in 2023 stood at US$5.5 billion, easily covering its dividend payout of US$1.3 billion. A low payout ratio allows Occidental Petroleum to target accretive acquisitions, lower balance sheet debt, and raise dividends further.

西方石油2023年的自由现金流为55亿美元,轻松覆盖了其13亿美元的股息支出。低的支付比率使西方石油能够目标为可增长的并购,降低债务和进一步提高股息。

Last December, Occidental Petroleum disclosed plans to acquire CrownRock for US$12 billion. It ended Q1 with US$1.85 billion in cash and US$18.39 billion in long-term debt, which might make investors nervous, especially if the company takes on additional debt to fund the acquisition. However, Occidental explained it would sell off non-core assets to partially repay the debt tied to the CrownRock acquisition.

去年12月,西方石油披露了以12亿美元收购防御者的计划。它以18.5亿美元的现金和183.9亿美元的长期债务结束了Q1,这可能会让投资者感到紧张,特别是如果公司负担了为防御者收购融资的额外债务。然而,西方石油解释说,它将出售非核心资产,以部分偿还与防御者收购相关的债务。

Priced at 15.6 times forward earnings, OXY stock is quite cheap and trades at a discount of 30% to consensus price target estimates.

按照前瞻性盈利的15.6倍计算,OXY股票很便宜,并以30%的折扣交易与共识价格目标估计。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发