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XianheLtd (SHSE:603733) Sheds CN¥614m, Company Earnings and Investor Returns Have Been Trending Downwards for Past Three Years

Simply Wall St ·  Aug 18 20:42

If you love investing in stocks you're bound to buy some losers. But the long term shareholders of Xianhe Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:603733) have had an unfortunate run in the last three years. So they might be feeling emotional about the 58% share price collapse, in that time. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 23% in the last three months. Of course, this share price action may well have been influenced by the 13% decline in the broader market, throughout the period.

Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

XianheLtd saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 1.5% per year, over the last three years. This reduction in EPS is slower than the 25% annual reduction in the share price. So it's likely that the EPS decline has disappointed the market, leaving investors hesitant to buy. This increased caution is also evident in the rather low P/E ratio, which is sitting at 10.72.

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

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SHSE:603733 Earnings Per Share Growth August 19th 2024

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on XianheLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for XianheLtd the TSR over the last 3 years was -56%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

The total return of 18% received by XianheLtd shareholders over the last year isn't far from the market return of -16%. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 4%, each year, over five years. If the fundamental data remains strong, and the share price is simply down on sentiment, then this could be an opportunity worth investigating. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for XianheLtd (2 are potentially serious!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

But note: XianheLtd may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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