Sumavision Technologies Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300079) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 27% after a shaky period beforehand. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 7.3% over the last year.
Following the firm bounce in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Communications industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.9x, you may consider Sumavision TechnologiesLtd as a stock not worth researching with its 11.4x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
How Sumavision TechnologiesLtd Has Been Performing
For instance, Sumavision TechnologiesLtd's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Sumavision TechnologiesLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Sumavision TechnologiesLtd?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Sumavision TechnologiesLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 44%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 40% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 47% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Sumavision TechnologiesLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
What Does Sumavision TechnologiesLtd's P/S Mean For Investors?
Sumavision TechnologiesLtd's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our examination of Sumavision TechnologiesLtd revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.
It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Sumavision TechnologiesLtd that you need to take into consideration.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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