Intchains Group Limited (NASDAQ:ICG) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 27% share price drop in the last month. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 16% share price drop.
Although its price has dipped substantially, Intchains Group may still be sending strong sell signals at present with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 13.2x, when you consider almost half of the companies in the Semiconductor industry in the United States have P/S ratios under 4.3x and even P/S lower than 1.7x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
How Has Intchains Group Performed Recently?
Intchains Group could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn the corner. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Intchains Group.How Is Intchains Group's Revenue Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Intchains Group's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 5.2% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 45% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the only analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 148% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 43%, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we can see why Intchains Group is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
What We Can Learn From Intchains Group's P/S?
A significant share price dive has done very little to deflate Intchains Group's very lofty P/S. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our look into Intchains Group shows that its P/S ratio remains high on the merit of its strong future revenues. It appears that shareholders are confident in the company's future revenues, which is propping up the P/S. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Intchains Group (1 can't be ignored) you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Intchains Group's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.