We Think Clover Health Investments (NASDAQ:CLOV) Needs To Drive Business Growth Carefully
We Think Clover Health Investments (NASDAQ:CLOV) Needs To Drive Business Growth Carefully
We can readily understand why investors are attracted to unprofitable companies. Indeed, Clover Health Investments (NASDAQ:CLOV) stock is up 139% in the last year, providing strong gains for shareholders. Nonetheless, only a fool would ignore the risk that a loss making company burns through its cash too quickly.
我們可以很容易地理解爲什麼投資者會對無利潤公司感興趣。事實上,Clover Health Investments(納斯達克:CLOV)的股票在過去一年中上漲了139%,爲股東提供了強勁的收益。儘管如此,任何人都不會忽略虧損公司燒錢過快的風險。
In light of its strong share price run, we think now is a good time to investigate how risky Clover Health Investments' cash burn is. For the purpose of this article, we'll define cash burn as the amount of cash the company is spending each year to fund its growth (also called its negative free cash flow). Let's start with an examination of the business' cash, relative to its cash burn.
考慮到Clover Health Investments股價的上漲,我們認爲現在是調查其現金燒燬風險的好時機。本文將現金燒燬定義爲公司每年用於資助其增長的現金金額(也稱爲負自由現金流)的量。讓我們從檢查業務的現金相對於其現金燒燬開始。
Does Clover Health Investments Have A Long Cash Runway?
Clover Health Investments有長期現金儲備嗎?
A company's cash runway is the amount of time it would take to burn through its cash reserves at its current cash burn rate. When Clover Health Investments last reported its June 2024 balance sheet in August 2024, it had zero debt and cash worth US$379m. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through US$178m. So it had a cash runway of about 2.1 years from June 2024. Arguably, that's a prudent and sensible length of runway to have. Depicted below, you can see how its cash holdings have changed over time.
公司的現金跑道是指其以當前的現金燒燬速度耗盡其現金儲備所需的時間。當Clover Health Investments在2024年六月份的資產負債表中報告時,其沒有債務,現金價值爲3.79億美元。從去年看,該公司燒掉了1.78億美元。因此,它從2024年6月開始的現金儲備爲大約2.1年。可以說,這是一個審慎和明智的現金跑道長度。下圖顯示了其現金持有量隨時間變化的情況。
How Well Is Clover Health Investments Growing?
Clover Health Investments的增長如何?
Notably, Clover Health Investments actually ramped up its cash burn very hard and fast in the last year, by 184%, signifying heavy investment in the business. As if that's not bad enough, the operating revenue also dropped by 15%, making us very wary indeed. Considering these two factors together makes us nervous about the direction the company seems to be heading. While the past is always worth studying, it is the future that matters most of all. So you might want to take a peek at how much the company is expected to grow in the next few years.
值得注意的是,Clover Health Investments在過去一年中的現金燒燬速度上升得非常迅速,增長了184%,表明公司大量投資於業務。更糟糕的是,營業收入也下降了15%,使我們非常擔心。考慮到這兩個因素,我們對公司的發展方向感到緊張。雖然過去總是值得研究的,但未來才是最重要的。因此,您可能需要看看公司在未來幾年內預計增長多少。
Can Clover Health Investments Raise More Cash Easily?
Clover Health Investments能夠輕鬆籌集更多資金嗎?
Even though it seems like Clover Health Investments is developing its business nicely, we still like to consider how easily it could raise more money to accelerate growth. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).
儘管Clover Health Investments似乎正在良好地發展其業務,但我們仍然喜歡考慮它能否輕鬆籌集更多資金以加速增長。公司可以通過債務或股本發行籌集資本。通常,業務將向自己出售新股份以籌集資金並推動增長。通過將公司每年的現金燒燬與其總市值進行比較,我們可以粗略地估計它需要發行多少股份才能在另一年運營公司(以相同的燒燬速率)。
Clover Health Investments' cash burn of US$178m is about 13% of its US$1.4b market capitalisation. As a result, we'd venture that the company could raise more cash for growth without much trouble, albeit at the cost of some dilution.
Clover Health Investments的現金燒燬爲1.78億美元,約佔其14億美元的市值的13%。因此,我們敢說公司可以毫不費力地籌集更多資金以實現增長,儘管會有一定程度的攤薄成本。
How Risky Is Clover Health Investments' Cash Burn Situation?
Clover Health Investments的現金燒燬情況有多大風險?
Even though its increasing cash burn makes us a little nervous, we are compelled to mention that we thought Clover Health Investments' cash runway was relatively promising. We don't think its cash burn is particularly problematic, but after considering the range of factors in this article, we do think shareholders should be monitoring how it changes over time. An in-depth examination of risks revealed 3 warning signs for Clover Health Investments that readers should think about before committing capital to this stock.
儘管現金燒燬量增加使我們有些擔憂,但我們不得不提到Clover Health Investments的現金跑道相對較爲有希望。我們認爲其現金燒燬並不是特別令人擔憂,但在考慮本文中的各種因素後,我們認爲股東應該監控其隨時間變化的情況。風險的深入審查揭示了3個Clover Health Investments的警示標誌,讀者在向該股票提供資金之前應該考慮這些警告標誌。
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)
當然,您可能會在其他地方尋找到一個出色的投資機會。因此,瞥一眼這個有趣公司的免費名單,和這個股票成長股的(根據分析師預測)。
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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。