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Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical Industry Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:600835) Stock Has Shown Weakness Lately But Financial Prospects Look Decent: Is The Market Wrong?

Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical Industry Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:600835) Stock Has Shown Weakness Lately But Financial Prospects Look Decent: Is The Market Wrong?

最近上海機電公司(SHSE: 600835)的股票表現疲軟,但財務前景看起來不錯:市場錯了嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  08/20 18:24

Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd (SHSE:600835) has had a rough three months with its share price down 14%. However, the company's fundamentals look pretty decent, and long-term financials are usually aligned with future market price movements. Specifically, we decided to study Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd's ROE in this article.

上海機電股份有限公司(SHSE:600835)在過去三個月表現不佳,股價下跌了14%。然而,公司的基本面還是相當不錯的,長期財務狀況通常與未來股市價格的變動相吻合。具體來說,我們決定在本文中研究上海機電股份有限公司的roe。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

股東必須考慮股本回報率或ROE,因爲它告訴他們公司如何有效地重新投資他們的資本。 簡而言之,ROE顯示每美元股東投資所產生的利潤。

How Is ROE Calculated?

淨資產收益率怎麼計算?

The formula for return on equity is:

權益回報率的計算公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

淨資產收益率 = 淨利潤(從持續經營中獲得)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd is:

所以,根據上述公式,上海機電股份有限公司的roe爲:

9.3% = CN¥1.5b ÷ CN¥17b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

9.3% = CN¥15億 ÷ CN¥170億(基於截至2024年3月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.09 in profit.

「回報」是過去十二個月的利潤。 另一種思考方法是,對於每個元股權,公司能夠賺取0.09元的利潤。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

roe與盈利增長有何關係?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解了roe是衡量公司盈利能力的一種指標。根據公司選擇重新投資或「保留」多少利潤,我們就能評估公司未來盈利的能力。一般來說,其他條件相同的情況下,具有高roe和盈利保留的公司比不具備這些屬性的公司增長率更高。

Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd's Earnings Growth And 9.3% ROE

上海機電業務有限公司的盈利增長和9.3%ROE

At first glance, Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd's ROE doesn't look very promising. However, the fact that the its ROE is quite higher to the industry average of 6.9% doesn't go unnoticed by us. But then again, seeing that Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd's net income shrunk at a rate of 5.7% in the past five years, makes us think again. Bear in mind, the company does have a slightly low ROE. It is just that the industry ROE is lower. Hence, this goes some way in explaining the shrinking earnings.

乍一看,上海機電業務有限公司的ROE似乎不太令人滿意。然而,它的ROE相對於行業平均水平6.9%的事實讓我們留意到。但是再次看到,在過去五年中,上海機電業務有限公司的淨利潤以5.7%的速度下降,讓我們再次思考。請記住,該公司的ROE略低,只是行業ROE更低。因此,這在一定程度上解釋了盈利的縮水。

However, when we compared Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 9.5% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

然而,當我們將上海機電業務有限公司的增長與行業進行比較時,我們發現儘管該公司的盈利一直在縮水,但行業在同一時期的盈利增長率爲9.5%,這令人不安。

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SHSE:600835 Past Earnings Growth August 20th 2024
SHSE:600835過去的盈利增長2024年8月20日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

對於一個公司的價值評估,在很大程度上取決於其盈利增長。投資者需要判斷的是預期的盈利增長,或者缺乏盈利增長是否已經反映在股價上。通過這樣做,他們將了解到股票是朝着明朗的藍海還是沼澤等待。預期盈利增長的一個好指標是市盈率,它根據盈利前景確定市場願意爲股票支付的價格。因此,你可能想要檢查一下上海機電行業股份有限公司的市盈率相對於行業是偏高還是偏低。

Is Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

上海機電行業股份有限公司是否有效地重新投資其利潤?

Looking at its three-year median payout ratio of 42% (or a retention ratio of 58%) which is pretty normal, Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd's declining earnings is rather baffling as one would expect to see a fair bit of growth when a company is retaining a good portion of its profits. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

從其三年的中位數股息支付比率爲42%(或保留比率爲58%)來看,這是相當正常的,上海機電行業股份有限公司的盈利下滑相當令人困惑,因爲當一個公司保留了大部分利潤時,人們通常希望看到一定的增長。所以在這方面可能有其他解釋。例如,公司的業務可能在惡化。

Moreover, Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.

此外,上海機電行業股份有限公司至少已經連續支付股息十年或更長時間,這表明管理層認爲股東更喜歡分紅而不是盈利增長。

Conclusion

結論

In total, it does look like Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd has some positive aspects to its business. However, while the company does have a decent ROE and a high profit retention, its earnings growth number is quite disappointing. This suggests that there might be some external threat to the business, that's hampering growth. That being so, the latest industry analyst forecasts show that the analysts are expecting to see a huge improvement in the company's earnings growth rate. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

總的來說,上海機電全模電氣有限公司的業務確實有一些積極的方面。然而,儘管公司的roe不錯,利潤保留較高,但其盈利增長率卻令人失望。這表明可能存在一些外部威脅,以阻礙其增長。正因如此,最新的行業分析師預測顯示分析師預計公司的盈利增長率將大幅提高。要了解更多關於公司最新分析師預測的信息,請查看此可視化分析師預測公司的鏈接。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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