Optimism Around Cinda Real Estate (SHSE:600657) Delivering New Earnings Growth May Be Shrinking as Stock Declines 4.5% This Past Week
Optimism Around Cinda Real Estate (SHSE:600657) Delivering New Earnings Growth May Be Shrinking as Stock Declines 4.5% This Past Week
It's easy to match the overall market return by buying an index fund. While individual stocks can be big winners, plenty more fail to generate satisfactory returns. Unfortunately the Cinda Real Estate Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600657) share price slid 42% over twelve months. That's disappointing when you consider the market declined 15%. However, the longer term returns haven't been so bad, with the stock down 18% in the last three years. Furthermore, it's down 32% in about a quarter. That's not much fun for holders.
通過購買指數基金,很容易跟隨整體市場回報。雖然個別股票可能會大獲成功,但更多的股票沒有產生令人滿意的回報。不幸的是,信達地產股份有限公司(上海證券交易所:600657)的股價在過去12個月內下跌了42%,而上證指數整體市場下跌了15%,這是令人失望的。 然而,從長期來看,股票回報並不那麼糟糕,在過去三年中下跌了18%。此外,在大約一個季度的時間裏下跌了32%,這對持有者來說並不好玩。
Since Cinda Real Estate has shed CN¥371m from its value in the past 7 days, let's see if the longer term decline has been driven by the business' economics.
由於信達地產在過去7天內減少了3,7100萬元的價值,讓我們看看長期下跌是否是由業務經濟所推動的。
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
用本傑明·格雷厄姆的話來說:「短期市場是一臺投票機,但長期市場是一臺稱重機」。檢查市場情緒如何隨時間推移變化的一種方式是查看公司股價和每股收益(EPS)之間的相互作用。
Unhappily, Cinda Real Estate had to report a 51% decline in EPS over the last year. This fall in the EPS is significantly worse than the 42% the share price fall. So the market may not be too worried about the EPS figure, at the moment -- or it may have expected earnings to drop faster.
不幸的是,信達地產去年的每股收益下降了51%。這種每股收益下降顯然比股價下跌42%更糟糕。所以,市場現在可能並不太擔心每股收益數字,或者可能已經預計收益會更快地下降。
The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
該公司的每股收益(隨時間的推移)如下圖所示(單擊可查看確切數字)。
Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.
在購買或出售股票之前,我們始終建議對歷史增長趨勢進行仔細研究,可以在這裏找到相關信息。
A Different Perspective
不同的觀點
While the broader market lost about 15% in the twelve months, Cinda Real Estate shareholders did even worse, losing 42%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 5% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Take risks, for example - Cinda Real Estate has 3 warning signs (and 2 which are a bit concerning) we think you should know about.
在過去12個月裏,整體市場損失約15%,而信達地產股東的損失更大,達42%。 話雖如此,在一個下跌的市場中,一些股票被拋售過度是不可避免的。關鍵是要密切關注基本面的發展情況。 可惜的是,去年的表現結束了糟糕的一段時間,股東在過去五年裏每年面臨着總損失5%。 一般來說,長期股價走弱可能是一個不好的跡象,儘管逆向投資者可能希望研究這隻股票,以期逆轉。 考慮到市場條件對股價可能產生的不同影響是非常值得的,還有其他更重要的因素。 例如,承擔風險 - 信達地產有3個警示信號(還有2個值得關注的信號),我們認爲您應該了解。
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
當然,您可能在其他地方找到一家出色的企業進行投資。因此,請查看我們預計將實現盈利增長的公司的免費列表。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。