With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.9x Frasers Property Limited (SGX:TQ5) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all the Real Estate companies in Singapore have P/S ratios greater than 1.7x and even P/S higher than 4x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
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What Does Frasers Property's Recent Performance Look Like?
Frasers Property hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. It seems that many are expecting the poor revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S ratio. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Frasers Property.How Is Frasers Property's Revenue Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Frasers Property's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 14%. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 17% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to remain somewhat buoyant, growing by 2.1% during the coming year according to the three analysts following the company. This isn't typically strong growth, but with the rest of the industry predicted to shrink by 2.7%, that would be a solid result.
In light of this, it's quite peculiar that Frasers Property's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It looks like most investors aren't convinced at all that the company can achieve positive future growth in the face of a shrinking broader industry.
What Does Frasers Property's P/S Mean For Investors?
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our look into Frasers Property's analyst forecasts has shown that it could be trading at a significant discount in terms of P/S, as it is expected to far outperform the industry. When we see a superior revenue outlook with some actual growth, we can only assume investor uncertainty is what's been suppressing the P/S figures. One major risk is whether its revenue trajectory can keep outperforming under these tough industry conditions. It appears many are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because the company's current prospects should normally provide a boost to the share price.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Frasers Property (1 is potentially serious!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.