MGB Berhad (MGB) remains a compelling investment opportunity, driven by its diversified growth drivers across construction, property, pre-cast business, and industrial park development. Following a recent results briefing, analysts have maintained a BUY recommendation on the stock, with a revised target price of RM1.20, reflecting a potential upside of approximately 41% from its current price of RM0.85.
The positive outlook for MGB is underpinned by several key factors. The company has secured a substantial pipeline of affordable housing projects, including a conditional share purchase agreement for a 32-acre plot in Taman Putra Prima, Puchong. This land will be used to develop an affordable housing project under the Rumah Selangorku 3.0 (RS3) initiative, projected to have a gross development value (GDV) of RM399 million and comprising 1,980 units. This addition could increase MGB's portfolio of affordable homes to 9,190 units, up from the current 7,210 units. Additionally, part of the land may be used for a high-rise project with an estimated GDV of RM271 million, also expected to launch in 3Q25.
MGB's joint venture with Terengganu Incorporated to develop the Kertih Terengganu Industrial Park (KTIP) further bolsters its growth prospects. Spanning 780 acres with an estimated GDV of RM747 million, the project is progressing with two out of seven development orders approved as of end-June. This venture could significantly benefit from strong land sales enquiries and the potential appointment of MGB as a design-and-build contractor for manufacturing facilities.
In the pre-cast segment, MGB's Saudi Arabian business has secured approximately 64,000 cubic metres of pre-cast concrete orders, approaching its first-year target of 90,000 cubic metres. Analysts anticipate that order volumes will increase by the end of FY24, with MGB's facility being the largest among the three serving Jeddah and Makkah. The company aims to expand its role in design-and-build projects for apartments, in addition to its pre-cast component supply and installation.
Earnings forecasts have been revised upwards, with FY25-26F earnings increased by 3% and 10%, respectively. This adjustment accounts for the new property projects in Puchong and a higher pre-cast volume target, now set at 110,000 cubic metres in FY25. The updated SOP-derived target price of RM1.20 reflects a slight increase from the previous RM1.16 and includes no ESG premium.
Source: RHB
Title: Various Growth Drivers In Place; Stay BUY
MGB Berhad (MGB)在建筑、房地产、预铸件业务和工业园区开发等领域的多元化增长驱动下,仍然是一个引人注目的投资机会。在最近的业绩发布会之后,分析师维持了对该股的买入建议,将目标价修订为1.20令吉,反映出其当前0.85令吉的潜在上涨空间约为41%。
MGB的乐观前景是由几个关键因素支撑的。该公司已经获得了大量经济适用住房项目,包括在蒲种Taman Putra Prima购买占地32英亩的土地的有条件股份购买协议。这块土地将用于开发Rumah Selangorku 3.0(RS3)计划下的经济适用住房项目,预计总开发价值(GDV)为39900万令吉,包括1,980个单元。这一增加可能会使MGB的经济适用房投资组合从目前的7,210套增加到9,190套。此外,部分土地可能用于高层建筑项目,估计GDV为271万令吉,也预计将在25年第三季度启动。
MGB与登嘉楼公司合资开发Kertih Terengganu工业园(KTIP),进一步提振了其增长前景。该项目占地780英亩,估计GDV为74700万令吉,正在进行中,截至6月底,七份开发订单中有两份获得批准。强劲的土地销售调查以及可能任命mGB为制造设施的设计和建造承包商,这可能会使该合资企业受益匪浅。
在预制件领域,MGB的沙特阿拉伯业务已获得约64,000立方米的预制混凝土订单,接近其第一年90,000立方米的目标。分析师预计,到24财年末,订单量将增加,其中MGB的设施是为吉达和麦加服务的三个设施中最大的。除了预制组件的供应和安装外,该公司还旨在扩大其在公寓设计和建造项目中的作用。
收益预测已向上修正,FY25-26F 的收益分别增长了3%和10%。这一调整考虑到了蒲种的新房地产项目和更高的预制量目标,目前设定为25财年11万立方米。更新后的SOP衍生目标价格为1.20令吉,较之前的1.16令吉略有上涨,并且不包括ESG溢价。
资料来源:RHB
标题:各种增长驱动力已经到位;保持买入