Shandong Teamgene Technology's (SHSE:603151) Weak Earnings May Only Reveal A Part Of The Whole Picture
Shandong Teamgene Technology's (SHSE:603151) Weak Earnings May Only Reveal A Part Of The Whole Picture
The market wasn't impressed with the soft earnings from Shandong Teamgene Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603151) recently. We did some further digging and think they have a few more reasons to be concerned beyond the statutory profit.
市场对山东天健科技股份有限公司(SHSE:603151)最近的业绩表现并不满意。我们进一步调查发现,他们有一些更值得关注的问题,不仅仅是会计盈利。
Examining Cashflow Against Shandong Teamgene Technology's Earnings
分析现金流与山东天健科技的业绩
One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
用于衡量公司如何将其利润转化为自由现金流(FCF)的一个关键财务比率是应计比率。应计比率从给定期间的自由现金流中减去利润,然后将结果除以公司在那段时间内的平均营运资产。这个比率告诉我们,公司利润中有多少不受自由现金流支持。
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.
这意味着负的计提率是件好事,因为它表明该公司所带来的自由现金流比其利润所显示的要多。虽然高于零的计提率没有什么大碍,但我们认为当公司的计提率相对较高时值得注意。这是因为一些学术研究表明,高计提率往往导致利润更少或者更少的利润增长。
Shandong Teamgene Technology has an accrual ratio of 0.53 for the year to June 2024. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥62.8m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥445m in the last year. We also note that Shandong Teamgene Technology's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥445m.
山东天健科技截至2024年6月的年度应计比率为0.53。统计数据显示,这对未来的盈利是真正的负面影响。事实上,公司在这段时间内并未产生任何自由现金流。即使它报告了6,280万人民币的利润,自由现金流的情况表明它实际上在过去一年中亏损了4,4500万人民币。我们还注意到,山东天健科技的自由现金流在去年也是负的,所以我们可以理解股东对其44,500万人民币的流出感到烦扰。
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
这可能会让您想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看基于其估计的未来盈利能力的互动图表。
Our Take On Shandong Teamgene Technology's Profit Performance
对山东天成科技的盈利表现,我们的看法
As we have made quite clear, we're a bit worried that Shandong Teamgene Technology didn't back up the last year's profit with free cashflow. For this reason, we think that Shandong Teamgene Technology's statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. In further bad news, its earnings per share decreased in the last year. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Shandong Teamgene Technology at this point in time. To help with this, we've discovered 3 warning signs (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in Shandong Teamgene Technology.
正如我们已经明确表示的那样,我们有些担心山东天成科技在去年的盈利没有通过自由现金流来支持。由于这个原因,我们认为山东天成科技的法定盈利可能不是对其基本收益能力的一个好指标,而且可能给投资者带来太过乐观的印象。更糟糕的是,它的每股盈利在过去一年中有所下降。在考虑公司的真正情况时,仅仅考虑以上因素是不够的。因此,尽管盈利质量很重要,但同样重要的是要考虑山东天成科技在这一时刻面临的风险。为了帮助您,我们发现了3个风险警示(其中1个让我们有些不舒服!),在购买山东天成科技的任何股票之前,您应该了解这些风险警示。
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Shandong Teamgene Technology's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
这份报告仅关注了一个揭示出山东天成科技盈利本质的因素。但如果您能把注意力集中在细枝末节上,还有更多可以发现的。例如,许多人认为高净资产回报率是有利的商业经济的一个指标,而其他人则喜欢“跟随资金”并寻找内部人士正在购买的股票。所以您可能希望查看这个自由的高净资产回报率公司收藏,或者这个拥有高内部持股的股票列表。
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