Guangdong Wenke Green Technology Corp.,Ltd. (SZSE:002775) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 25% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 48% over that time.
Although its price has surged higher, Guangdong Wenke Green TechnologyLtd may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.7x, since almost half of all companies in the Commercial Services industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 2.3x and even P/S higher than 5x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
How Has Guangdong Wenke Green TechnologyLtd Performed Recently?
For example, consider that Guangdong Wenke Green TechnologyLtd's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader industry in the near future. Those who are bullish on Guangdong Wenke Green TechnologyLtd will be hoping that this isn't the case so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Guangdong Wenke Green TechnologyLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Guangdong Wenke Green TechnologyLtd?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Guangdong Wenke Green TechnologyLtd's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 28%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 68% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 30% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this information, we are not surprised that Guangdong Wenke Green TechnologyLtd is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
The Key Takeaway
Guangdong Wenke Green TechnologyLtd's stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
It's no surprise that Guangdong Wenke Green TechnologyLtd maintains its low P/S off the back of its sliding revenue over the medium-term. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Given the current circumstances, it seems unlikely that the share price will experience any significant movement in either direction in the near future if recent medium-term revenue trends persist.
It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for Guangdong Wenke Green TechnologyLtd (2 are concerning!) that you need to take into consideration.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Guangdong Wenke Green TechnologyLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.