Chong Fai Jewellery Group Holdings Company Limited (HKG:8537) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 154% after a shaky period beforehand. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 14% is also fairly reasonable.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Chong Fai Jewellery Group Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Hong Kong's Luxury industry is similar at about 0.6x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
How Has Chong Fai Jewellery Group Holdings Performed Recently?
The recent revenue growth at Chong Fai Jewellery Group Holdings would have to be considered satisfactory if not spectacular. Perhaps the expectation moving forward is that the revenue growth will track in line with the wider industry for the near term, which has kept the P/S subdued. If not, then at least existing shareholders probably aren't too pessimistic about the future direction of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Chong Fai Jewellery Group Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Chong Fai Jewellery Group Holdings would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 4.0%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 40% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenues over that time.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 13% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is pretty similar based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
With this in consideration, it's clear to see why Chong Fai Jewellery Group Holdings' P/S matches up closely to its industry peers. Apparently shareholders are comfortable to simply hold on assuming the company will continue keeping a low profile.
What We Can Learn From Chong Fai Jewellery Group Holdings' P/S?
Its shares have lifted substantially and now Chong Fai Jewellery Group Holdings' P/S is back within range of the industry median. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
It appears to us that Chong Fai Jewellery Group Holdings maintains its moderate P/S off the back of its recent three-year growth being in line with the wider industry forecast. With previous revenue trends that keep up with the current industry outlook, it's hard to justify the company's P/S ratio deviating much from it's current point. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.
You need to take note of risks, for example - Chong Fai Jewellery Group Holdings has 3 warning signs (and 2 which are significant) we think you should know about.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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