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Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About China National Medicines Corporation Ltd. (SHSE:600511)?

Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About China National Medicines Corporation Ltd. (SHSE:600511)?

下跌的股價和穩固的基本面:市場對中國醫藥股份有限公司(SHSE:600511)錯了嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  08/21 19:33

It is hard to get excited after looking at China National Medicines' (SHSE:600511) recent performance, when its stock has declined 4.2% over the past three months. However, a closer look at its sound financials might cause you to think again. Given that fundamentals usually drive long-term market outcomes, the company is worth looking at. Particularly, we will be paying attention to China National Medicines' ROE today.

看完中國醫藥(交易所代碼:600511),股票過去三個月下跌4.2%,這讓人不太興奮。然而,仔細研究其健康的財務狀況可能會讓你再次思考。鑑於基本面通常驅動着長期市場走勢,該公司值得關注。特別是,我們將關注中國醫藥的roe今天。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

淨資產收益率(ROE)是衡量公司增值和管理投資者資金有效性的測試。換句話說,它是一種盈利能力比率,用於衡量公司股東提供的資金回報率。

How Is ROE Calculated?

淨資產收益率怎麼計算?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股東權益報酬率可以使用以下公式計算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

淨資產收益率 = 淨利潤(從持續經營中獲得)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for China National Medicines is:

因此,根據上述公式,中國醫藥的 ROE 爲:

13% = CN¥2.4b ÷ CN¥18b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

13% = CN¥24億 ÷ CN¥180億(基於截至 2024 年 3 月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the yearly profit. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.13 in profit.

「收益」是指年利潤。換個角度思考,就是說,每1元人民幣的股權,公司能賺取0.13元人民幣的利潤。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

ROE與盈利增長之間的關係是什麼?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解到ROE衡量了公司創造利潤的效率。現在我們需要評估公司爲未來增長「保留」的利潤量,然後我們就能了解公司的增長潛力。如果一切都相等,那麼ROE和利潤保留都更高的公司通常比沒有這些特徵的公司增長率更高。

A Side By Side comparison of China National Medicines' Earnings Growth And 13% ROE

中國醫藥的盈利增長和13%的roe進行了並列比較。

At first glance, China National Medicines seems to have a decent ROE. Especially when compared to the industry average of 6.4% the company's ROE looks pretty impressive. This certainly adds some context to China National Medicines' decent 8.8% net income growth seen over the past five years.

乍一看,中國醫藥的roe似乎還不錯。特別是與行業平均水平6.4%相比,該公司的roe看起來相當令人印象深刻。這無疑爲中國醫藥過去五年的8.8%淨利潤增長提供了一些背景。

We then compared China National Medicines' net income growth with the industry and we're pleased to see that the company's growth figure is higher when compared with the industry which has a growth rate of 4.2% in the same 5-year period.

然後我們將中國醫藥的淨利潤增長與行業進行了比較,並且很高興地看到該公司的增長數據較行業高。在相同的5年期間,行業的增長率爲4.2%。

1724283230815
SHSE:600511 Past Earnings Growth August 21st 2024
SHSE:600511過去的盈利增長-2024年8月21日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Has the market priced in the future outlook for 600511? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report.

盈利增長是在估值股票時要考慮的重要指標。投資者應該設法確定預期的盈利增長或下降,不管情況如何,市場是否已經定價。這樣做將有助於他們確定股票的未來是光明的還是暗淡的。市場是否已經對600511的未來展望進行定價?您可以在我們最新的內在價值信息圖研究報告中找到答案。

Is China National Medicines Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

中國醫藥是否有效地重新投資其利潤?

China National Medicines has a three-year median payout ratio of 29%, which implies that it retains the remaining 71% of its profits. This suggests that its dividend is well covered, and given the decent growth seen by the company, it looks like management is reinvesting its earnings efficiently.

中國醫藥國際有限公司的三年中位數支付比率爲29%,這意味着該公司留下了其利潤的其餘71%。這表明其股息得到了很好的覆蓋,並且考慮到公司所見的不錯增長,看起來管理層正在有效地再投資其盈利。

Additionally, China National Medicines has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 29% of its profits over the next three years. As a result, China National Medicines' ROE is not expected to change by much either, which we inferred from the analyst estimate of 14% for future ROE.

此外,中國醫藥國際有限公司在過去至少十年中支付了股息,這意味着公司非常認真地與股東分享其利潤。在研究了最新的分析師一致數據後,我們發現公司預計在未來三年將繼續支付其約29%的利潤。因此,預計中國醫藥國際有限公司的roe也不會有太大變化,我們從分析師對未來roe的14%的估計中推斷出這一點。

Conclusion

結論

Overall, we are quite pleased with China National Medicines' performance. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business, and at a high rate of return. Unsurprisingly, this has led to an impressive earnings growth. The latest industry analyst forecasts show that the company is expected to maintain its current growth rate. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

總體來說,我們對中國醫藥的表現非常滿意。尤其讓我們欣慰的是,該公司正在大力進行業務再投資,並且以很高的回報率。毫不意外,這導致了令人印象深刻的盈利增長。最新的行業分析師預測顯示,該公司預計將保持其目前的增長率。要了解更多關於該公司的最新分析師預測,請查看此可視化分析師預測。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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