Spot Bitcoin ETFs Will Soon Own More BTC Than Satoshi, Analysts Predict, But Another Fund Is The 'Most Volatile ETF Ever' In The US
Spot Bitcoin ETFs Will Soon Own More BTC Than Satoshi, Analysts Predict, But Another Fund Is The 'Most Volatile ETF Ever' In The US
In an interview with crypto influencer Scott Melker, Bloomberg ETF analysts James Seyffart and Eric Balchunas highlighted both the challenges and successes of the new spot cryptocurrency ETFs.
在接受加密影響者Scott Melker的採訪中,彭博ETF分析師詹姆斯·賽法特和埃裏克·巴爾丘納強調了新的現貨加密貨幣ETF面臨的挑戰和成功。
What Happened: On the latest episode of Melker's podcast, Balchunas emphasized the resilience of Bitcoin ETF investors, noting, "99.5% of the assets stuck, even though there was a weekend where they woke up to a 15% downturn."
發生了什麼:在Melker的播客的最新一集中,巴爾丘納強調了比特幣ETF投資者的韌性,指出:"99.5%的資產仍然固定在那裏,即使有一個週末他們醒來時市場下跌了15%。"
Regarding Bitcoin ETFs, Seyffart reported impressive inflows: "They have like 17 and a half to 18 billion in inflows since they launched." He noted the ETFs now hold around 920,000 bitcoin, approaching a significant milestone. "Within a year, the US ETFs will have more Bitcoin than Satoshi," Balchunas added, highlighting the rapid institutional adoption.
關於比特幣ETF,賽法特報告了令人印象深刻的資金流入:"自推出以來,它們已經吸引了大約17.5億到18億美元的資金流入。"他指出,ETF現在持有大約92萬枚比特幣,接近一個重要的里程碑。"在一年內,美國的ETF將持有比特幣比中本聰更多,"巴爾丘納補充道,強調了快速的機構採用。
The Ethereum ETFs, however, have faced challenges. Seyffart admitted, "They have negative flows since launch." Despite this, Balchunas provided context: "If you took the Bitcoin ETFs off the table and you looked at the launches this year, Ether would be number one by far at a billion dollars." He noted that the BlackRock Ethereum ETF (NASDAQ:ETHA) ranks 136 overall based on flows this year for all ETFs, placing it in the top 3%.
然而,以太幣ETF面臨挑戰。賽法特承認:"自推出以來,它們持續出現資金流出。"儘管如此,巴爾丘納提供了背景:"如果你把比特幣ETF排除在外,看今年的推出,以太幣絕對是第一名,達到了十億美元。"他指出,貝萊德以太幣ETF(納斯達克:ETHA)根據今年所有ETF的資金流入排名第136,佔據了前3%。
The analysts addressed the withdrawal of Solana ETF applications, viewing it as an early step in a longer process. Balchunas compared it to Bitcoin's ETF journey, stating, "I would look at this as like the Winklevoss filing in 2013. These are the sort of like first shots you get." He suggested Solana ETFs might have better prospects under a different political administration or with the development of futures markets.
分析師們討論了Solana ETF申請的撤回,將其視爲更長步驟中的早期行動。巴爾丘納將其比作比特幣ETF之旅,稱:"我會把這看作是2013年Winklevoss的申請。這些就像你獲得的第一槍。"他暗示Solana ETF在不同的政治管理下或者隨着期貨市場的發展可能會有更好的前景。
Why It Matters: The analysts suggested patience with Ethereum ETFs, expecting a slower adoption curve compared to Bitcoin ETFs. Balchunas explained, "I always equate the Ether to silver to gold. They'll have their own little market." He added, "It's a long game. They're off to a decent start."
爲什麼重要:分析師建議對以太幣ETF保持耐心,預計其採用速度比比特幣ETF要慢。巴爾丘納解釋道:"我總是把以太幣等同於白銀對黃金。它們將有自己的小市場。"他補充說:"這是一個長期的遊戲。它們的起步還算不錯。"
The conversation also touched on the broader ETF market, highlighting record inflows across various sectors. Balchunas noted, "The breadth of flows beyond equities is a really promising sign for the industry."
對話還涉及更廣泛的etf市場,突顯各個領域資金流入創紀錄。Balchunas指出,「除了股票外,資金流的廣度對行業板塊來說是一個非常有前途的跡象。」
A particularly interesting development was the launch of highly volatile products like leveraged MicroStrategy ETFs (NASDAQ:MSTX). Seyffart described one such product as "the most volatile ETF ever introduced in the United States," with Balchunas adding, "I believe it's the most immediately popular leveraged ETF ever to launch."
特別引人注目的發展是推出了高度波動性產品,比如槓桿化的microstrategy etf(納斯達克:MSTX)。Seyffart將這種產品描述爲「美國曆史上波動性最高的etf之一」,Balchunas補充道,「我認爲這是迄今爲止最受歡迎的槓桿etf。」
In conclusion, while acknowledging the current challenges, the analysts emphasized the need for patience and a broader perspective. Balchunas summarized, "Don't worry. They had a lot of things going against them. They're doing okay despite it."
總的來說,雖然承認當前的挑戰,分析師們強調需要耐心和更廣闊的視角。Balchunas總結道,「不用擔心。他們面臨很多困難,儘管如此,他們做得還不錯。」