China Reinsurance (Group) Corporation (HKG:1508) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 27% after a shaky period beforehand. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 33% in the last year.
Although its price has surged higher, it's still not a stretch to say that China Reinsurance (Group)'s price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Insurance industry in Hong Kong, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.5x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
How Has China Reinsurance (Group) Performed Recently?
Recent times haven't been great for China Reinsurance (Group) as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to lift, which has kept the P/S from declining. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
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What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like China Reinsurance (Group)'s is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 19% last year. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year revenue frustratingly shrank by 44% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 18% per annum over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 3.6% per year, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we find it interesting that China Reinsurance (Group) is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.
What Does China Reinsurance (Group)'s P/S Mean For Investors?
China Reinsurance (Group)'s stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Despite enticing revenue growth figures that outpace the industry, China Reinsurance (Group)'s P/S isn't quite what we'd expect. Perhaps uncertainty in the revenue forecasts are what's keeping the P/S ratio consistent with the rest of the industry. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.
It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for China Reinsurance (Group) that you need to take into consideration.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on China Reinsurance (Group), explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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