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ShanDongDenghai Seeds Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:002041) Stock Has Shown Weakness Lately But Financial Prospects Look Decent: Is The Market Wrong?

ShanDongDenghai Seeds Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:002041) Stock Has Shown Weakness Lately But Financial Prospects Look Decent: Is The Market Wrong?

登海種業(SZSE:002041)的股票最近顯示出疲軟,但財務前景看起來不錯:市場錯了嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  2024/08/22 19:16

It is hard to get excited after looking at ShanDongDenghai SeedsLtd's (SZSE:002041) recent performance, when its stock has declined 21% over the past three months. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financials over the long term, which in this case look pretty respectable. Specifically, we decided to study ShanDongDenghai SeedsLtd's ROE in this article.

在看到山東登海種業股票在過去三個月中下跌了21%後,很難感到興奮。然而,股票價格通常受到公司長期財務狀況的影響,在這種情況下,公司的財務狀況看起來相當可觀。具體而言,在本文中,我們決定研究山東登海種業的roe。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

roe或股東權益回報率是評估公司如何有效地從股東那裏獲得回報的有用工具。簡而言之,它用於評估公司相對於其權益資本的盈利能力。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何計算股東權益報酬率?

The formula for ROE is:

roe的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

淨資產收益率 = 淨利潤(從持續經營中獲得)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for ShanDongDenghai SeedsLtd is:

因此,根據上述公式,山東登海種業的roe爲:

7.2% = CN¥281m ÷ CN¥3.9b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

7.2% = CN¥28100萬 ÷ CN¥39億(基於截至2024年3月的過去12個月)。

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.07 in profit.

『回報』是企業公司過去一年所獲得的收益。可以這樣思考,即對於每1元人民幣的淨資產,公司能夠賺取0.07元的利潤。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

ROE與盈利增長之間的關係是什麼?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

我們已經確認ROE是一個有效的判斷公司未來盈利能力的指標。根據公司再投資或「保留」利潤的比例及其效率來判定公司的盈利增長潛力,通常情況下,其他條件相同,具有高股權回報率和利潤保留率的公司增長速度會高於這些屬性缺失的公司。

A Side By Side comparison of ShanDongDenghai SeedsLtd's Earnings Growth And 7.2% ROE

山東登海種業股份有限公司的盈利增長和7.2%的roe的並列對比

On the face of it, ShanDongDenghai SeedsLtd's ROE is not much to talk about. Yet, a closer study shows that the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 8.0%. Particularly, the exceptional 34% net income growth seen by ShanDongDenghai SeedsLtd over the past five years is pretty remarkable. Taking into consideration that the ROE is not particularly high, we reckon that there could also be other factors at play which could be influencing the company's growth. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

從表面上看,山東登海種業股份有限公司的roe並不值得討論。然而,進一步研究顯示,該公司的roe與行業平均水平8.0%相似。尤其值得注意的是,山東登海種業股份有限公司在過去五年中出現了異常的34%淨利潤增長,這是非常引人注目的。考慮到roe並不特別高,我們認爲在公司的增長中可能還有其他因素起作用。例如,公司的派息比率較低或者管理得比較高效。

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that ShanDongDenghai SeedsLtd's growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 2.8% in the same period, which is great to see.

接下來,與行業淨利潤增長相比較,我們發現山東登海種業股份有限公司的增長相當高,而同期行業平均增長率爲2.8%,這是非常好的情況。

1724379396818
SZSE:002041 Past Earnings Growth August 23rd 2024
szse:002041過去的盈利增長2024年8月23日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. What is 002041 worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether 002041 is currently mispriced by the market.

收益增長是衡量股票價值的重要指標。投資者應該嘗試確定預期的收益增長或下降是否已經定價。通過這樣做,他們將知道該股票是否進入了明朗的境地,還是將面臨泥濘的境況。002041今天值多少錢?我們的免費研究報告中的內在價值信息圖表有助於可視化002041當前是否被市場低估。

Is ShanDongDenghai SeedsLtd Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

山東登海種業利用其利潤高效嗎?

ShanDongDenghai SeedsLtd's ' three-year median payout ratio is on the lower side at 14% implying that it is retaining a higher percentage (86%) of its profits. So it seems like the management is reinvesting profits heavily to grow its business and this reflects in its earnings growth number.

山東登海種業的三年中間紅利支付比率較低,爲14%,表明該公司保留了較高的盈利比例(86%)。因此,管理層正在大量重新投資利潤,這反映在其盈利增長數據中。

Additionally, ShanDongDenghai SeedsLtd has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Looking at the current analyst consensus data, we can see that the company's future payout ratio is expected to rise to 22% over the next three years. However, ShanDongDenghai SeedsLtd's future ROE is expected to rise to 9.1% despite the expected increase in the company's payout ratio. We infer that there could be other factors that could be driving the anticipated growth in the company's ROE.

此外,山東登海種業至少連續十年支付股息,這意味着該公司非常重視與股東分享利潤。根據目前的分析師共識數據,我們可以看到該公司未來的支付比率預計將上升到22%。然而,儘管預計公司支付比率會增加,但山東登海種業未來的ROE預計將上升到9.1%。我們推斷可能有其他因素推動了該公司ROE的預期增長。

Conclusion

結論

On the whole, we do feel that ShanDongDenghai SeedsLtd has some positive attributes. Despite its low rate of return, the fact that the company reinvests a very high portion of its profits into its business, no doubt contributed to its high earnings growth. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

總體而言,我們確實認爲山東登海種業有限公司具有一些積極的特點。儘管其回報率較低,但該公司高比例地將其利潤再投資於業務,無疑促成了其高收益增長。然而,最新的行業分析師預測顯示,該公司的收益增長預計將放緩。要了解更多有關該公司的最新分析師預測,請查看該公司的分析師預測可視化。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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