When you see that almost half of the companies in the Machinery industry in China have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.3x, JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd. (SZSE:002530) looks to be giving off some sell signals with its 3.9x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
What Does JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings' Recent Performance Look Like?
The recent revenue growth at JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings would have to be considered satisfactory if not spectacular. It might be that many expect the reasonable revenue performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 3.1% gain to the company's revenues. The latest three year period has also seen a 21% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 21% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
In light of this, it's alarming that JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Final Word
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. When we see slower than industry revenue growth but an elevated P/S, there's considerable risk of the share price declining, sending the P/S lower. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
If you're unsure about the strength of JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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