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We Think Constellation Energy (NASDAQ:CEG) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

We Think Constellation Energy (NASDAQ:CEG) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

我們認爲Constellation Energy(納斯達克:CEG)在承擔債務方面存在一定的風險
Simply Wall St ·  08/23 15:12

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Constellation Energy Corporation (NASDAQ:CEG) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

大衛·伊本說得很好,「波動性不是我們關心的風險,我們關心的是避免永久性的資本損失。」當你考察一個公司的風險程度時,自然會考慮其資產負債表,因爲企業倒閉時通常涉及債務。重要的是,康斯特拉能源公司(NASDAQ:CEG)確實有債務。但這些債務對股東來說是不是一個問題呢?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什麼時候負債才是一個問題?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業成長的工具,但如果企業無法償還債權人,那麼它就只能受制於債權人了。 創意毀滅是資本主義的一部分,失敗的企業將被銀行家無情地清算。 當然,債務在企業中可能是一個重要的工具,特別是對於資本密集型企業。 當我們考慮公司對債務的使用時,我們首先會考慮現金和債務的總和。

What Is Constellation Energy's Net Debt?

康斯特拉能源的淨債務是多少?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2024, Constellation Energy had US$9.12b of debt, up from US$7.20b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have US$311.0m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$8.81b.

正如下圖所示,在2024年6月底,康斯特拉能源的債務總額爲91.2億美元,較去年的72億美元增加。點擊圖像以獲取更多詳細信息。然而,公司持有3,1100萬美元的現金來抵消這一債務,從而導致淨債務約爲88.1億美元。

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NasdaqGS:CEG Debt to Equity History August 23rd 2024
NasdaqGS:CEG的資產負債歷史記錄2024年8月23日

How Healthy Is Constellation Energy's Balance Sheet?

康斯拓能源的資產負債表情況如何?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Constellation Energy had liabilities of US$5.80b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$33.8b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$311.0m as well as receivables valued at US$2.79b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$36.5b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

從最新的資產負債表數據來看,康斯拓能源短期內有580億美元的負債,而超過12個月到期的負債金額爲338億美元。與此同時,其現金爲3.11億美元,短期應收賬款爲279億美元。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的組合多出365億美元。

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Constellation Energy has a huge market capitalization of US$61.5b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

雖然這個數額看起來很大,但康斯拓能源的市值達到了615億美元,所以如果需要的話,它很可能通過籌集資本來加強其資產負債表。但顯然我們需要仔細檢查它是否能夠管理好債務而不影響股東利益。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

爲了比較一個公司的債務與其收益的關係,我們計算其淨債務除以利息、稅、折舊和攤銷前的收益和利息前的收益(其利息覆蓋率)。因此,我們考慮了債務的絕對數量以及支付的利率。

Constellation Energy's net debt is sitting at a very reasonable 1.6 times its EBITDA, while its EBIT covered its interest expense just 5.7 times last year. While these numbers do not alarm us, it's worth noting that the cost of the company's debt is having a real impact. Notably, Constellation Energy's EBIT launched higher than Elon Musk, gaining a whopping 582% on last year. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Constellation Energy can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

康斯拓能源的淨債務相比EBITDA非常合理,爲1.6倍,而上一年的EBIT則只覆蓋了其利息支出的5.7倍。雖然這些數字並不引起我們的擔憂,但值得注意的是,公司債務成本正對其產生真實的影響。值得注意的是,康斯拓能源的EBIT增長幅度高達582%,超過了埃隆·馬斯克。在分析負債水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但最終,企業的未來盈利能力將決定康斯拓能源是否能夠逐步加強其資產負債表。因此,如果你關注未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Constellation Energy burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

最後,一家公司只能用現金而不是會計利潤來償還債務。因此,我們始終要了解EBIT中有多少被轉化爲自由現金流。在過去的三年裏,康斯拓能源消耗了大量現金。雖然投資者無疑期望這種情況能夠逆轉,但這顯然意味着它使用債務的風險更高。

Our View

我們的觀點

Neither Constellation Energy's ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow nor its level of total liabilities gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But the good news is it seems to be able to grow its EBIT with ease. It's also worth noting that Constellation Energy is in the Electric Utilities industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. We think that Constellation Energy's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Constellation Energy that you should be aware of before investing here.

康斯蒂雷能源將EBIt轉化爲自由現金流的能力以及其總負債的水平都沒有讓我們對其承擔更多債務的能力產生信心。但好消息是,它似乎能夠輕鬆增長其EBIt。值得注意的是,康斯蒂雷能源在電力公用股業務中,這往往被認爲是相當保守的。綜合考慮上述數據點後,我們認爲康斯蒂雷能源的債務使其有一定風險。並非所有的風險都是壞的,如果能夠實現預期,它還可以提高股價回報,但這種債務風險值得記住。在分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是需要關注的領域。然而,並不是所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中-遠非如此。例如,在您在此處投資之前,我們已經發現了2個康斯蒂雷能源的預警信號,您應該注意這些信號。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

如果在所有這些之後,您更感興趣的是具有堅實資產負債表的快速增長公司,那麼不要拖延,查看我們的淨現金增長股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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