Downgrade: Here's How Analysts See Moon Environment Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:000811) Performing In The Near Term
Downgrade: Here's How Analysts See Moon Environment Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:000811) Performing In The Near Term
Today is shaping up negative for Moon Environment Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:000811) shareholders, with the analysts delivering a substantial negative revision to this year's forecasts. Both revenue and earnings per share (EPS) estimates were cut sharply as analysts factored in the latest outlook for the business, concluding that they were too optimistic previously.
今天对冰轮环境科技股份有限公司(SZSE:000811)的股东来说是负面的,分析师对今年的预测进行了大幅度的负面修订。营业收入和每股收益都被大幅削减,分析师们纳入了企业的最新前景,得出了之前过于乐观的结论。
After the downgrade, the three analysts covering Moon Environment TechnologyLtd are now predicting revenues of CN¥7.5b in 2024. If met, this would reflect an okay 4.4% improvement in sales compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to accumulate 7.8% to CN¥0.86. Prior to this update, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of CN¥8.4b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.98 in 2024. It looks like analyst sentiment has declined substantially, with a measurable cut to revenue estimates and a real cut to earnings per share numbers as well.
降级后,目前有三家分析师对冰轮环境科技股份有限公司预测2024年的营业收入将达到75亿人民币。如果能够达到,这将反映出与过去12个月相比销售额有一个4.4%的不错提升。每股收益预计会累积增长7.8%至0.86元人民币。在此更新之前,分析师们一直在预测2024年的营业收入为84亿人民币,每股收益为0.98元人民币。看起来,分析师的情绪已经大幅下滑,营业收入估计大幅下调,每股收益也有实质性的下调。
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The consensus price target fell 28% to CN¥10.60, with the weaker earnings outlook clearly leading analyst valuation estimates.
共识价格目标下调28%至10.60元人民币,预测的较弱盈利前景明显导致了分析师的估值预测。
Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Moon Environment TechnologyLtd's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2024 expected to display 4.4% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 16% over the past five years. Compare this against other companies (with analyst forecasts) in the industry, which are in aggregate expected to see revenue growth of 16% annually. Factoring in the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that Moon Environment TechnologyLtd is also expected to grow slower than other industry participants.
现在来看大局,我们可以通过将这些预测与过去的业绩和行业增长预测进行对比来理解。很明显,人们预计冰轮环境科技股份有限公司的营业收入增长将大幅放缓,2024年底的营业收入预计以年化基础上涨4.4%。这与过去五年的历史增长率16%相比。与行业中其他公司(具有分析师预测)相比,预计总体上将实现16%的年收入增长。考虑到预测的增长放缓,显然冰轮环境科技股份有限公司预计的增长速度也会比其他行业参与者慢。
The Bottom Line
最重要的事情是分析师增加了它对下一年每股亏损的估计。令人欣慰的是,营收预测未发生重大变化,业务仍有望比整个行业增长更快。共识价格目标稳定在28.50美元,最新估计不足以对价格目标产生影响。
The biggest issue in the new estimates is that analysts have reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds lay ahead for Moon Environment TechnologyLtd. Regrettably, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and the latest forecasts imply the business will grow sales slower than the wider market. With a serious cut to this year's expectations and a falling price target, we wouldn't be surprised if investors were becoming wary of Moon Environment TechnologyLtd.
新预估中最大的问题是分析师们降低了每股收益预估,这意味着冰轮环境即将面临业务困境。遗憾的是,他们还降低了营业收入预估,最新预测表明,该企业的销售增长速度将比整个市场更慢。由于今年预期大幅下调和目标价下降,我们不会感到意外,如果投资者对冰轮环境变得谨慎。
Even so, the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for the value creation of shareholders. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Moon Environment TechnologyLtd going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.
尽管如此,对股东来说,企业的长期发展轨迹更加重要,对于股东的价值创造更具有意义。在Simply Wall St上,我们对冰轮环境到2026年的分析师估计进行了全面覆盖,您可以免费在我们的平台上查看。
Another way to search for interesting companies that could be reaching an inflection point is to track whether management are buying or selling, with our free list of growing companies backed by insiders.
跟踪管理层是购买还是销售,是寻找可能达到关键点的有趣公司的另一种方法,我们的免费公司列表由内部支持的增长公司组成。
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