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Shenzhen Zhongheng Huafa Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:000020) Shares Climb 30% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up

Simply Wall St ·  Aug 23 18:03

Shenzhen Zhongheng Huafa Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000020) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 30% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 7.6% isn't as attractive.

After such a large jump in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Shenzhen Zhongheng Huafa is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 4.4x, considering almost half the companies in China's Electronic industry have P/S ratios below 3.2x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.

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SZSE:000020 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 23rd 2024

What Does Shenzhen Zhongheng Huafa's Recent Performance Look Like?

Revenue has risen firmly for Shenzhen Zhongheng Huafa recently, which is pleasing to see. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this respectable revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Shenzhen Zhongheng Huafa's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Shenzhen Zhongheng Huafa's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 15%. Still, revenue has fallen 3.1% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 26% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Shenzhen Zhongheng Huafa's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Shenzhen Zhongheng Huafa's P/S?

Shenzhen Zhongheng Huafa shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Our examination of Shenzhen Zhongheng Huafa revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.

The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Our free balance sheet analysis for Shenzhen Zhongheng Huafa with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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