The Dagang Holding Group Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300103) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 28%. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 12% over that time.
After such a large jump in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Machinery industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.3x, you may consider Dagang Holding GroupLtd as a stock not worth researching with its 6.1x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
How Dagang Holding GroupLtd Has Been Performing
For instance, Dagang Holding GroupLtd's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Dagang Holding GroupLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Dagang Holding GroupLtd?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Dagang Holding GroupLtd would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 28% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 80% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 21% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this information, we find it concerning that Dagang Holding GroupLtd is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From Dagang Holding GroupLtd's P/S?
Dagang Holding GroupLtd's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
We've established that Dagang Holding GroupLtd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Dagang Holding GroupLtd that you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Dagang Holding GroupLtd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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