With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 13x China Merchants Energy Shipping Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601872) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 27x and even P/E's higher than 50x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, China Merchants Energy Shipping has been doing relatively well. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on China Merchants Energy Shipping.
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like China Merchants Energy Shipping's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 6.7% gain to the company's bottom line. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 105% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 15% each year during the coming three years according to the eight analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 23% per year growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we can see why China Merchants Energy Shipping is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
The Key Takeaway
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that China Merchants Energy Shipping maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for China Merchants Energy Shipping that we have uncovered.
If you're unsure about the strength of China Merchants Energy Shipping's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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