Those holding Hony Media Group (HKG:419) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 29% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 26% in the last twelve months.
Even after such a large jump in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Hony Media Group's P/S ratio of 0.9x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Hospitality industry in Hong Kong is also close to 0.6x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
What Does Hony Media Group's Recent Performance Look Like?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Hony Media Group over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing revenue performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from falling. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Hony Media Group, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Hony Media Group would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 15% decrease to the company's top line. Spectacularly, three year revenue growth has ballooned by several orders of magnitude, despite the drawbacks experienced in the last 12 months. Accordingly, shareholders will be pleased, but also have some serious questions to ponder about the last 12 months.
Comparing that to the industry, which is only predicted to deliver 17% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is stronger based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
With this information, we find it interesting that Hony Media Group is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.
The Key Takeaway
Its shares have lifted substantially and now Hony Media Group's P/S is back within range of the industry median. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
To our surprise, Hony Media Group revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't contributing to its P/S as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current industry expectations. When we see strong revenue with faster-than-industry growth, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/S ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued if recent medium-term revenue trends continue, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Hony Media Group (1 is a bit unpleasant) you should be aware of.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
持有Hony Media Group(HKG:419)股票的人会为股价在过去三十天回升了29%而感到欣慰,但它需要继续走高以修复近期对投资者投资组合造成的损害。并非所有股东都会感到欢欣,因为股价在过去十二个月仍然下跌了令人非常失望的26%。
即使股价大幅上涨后,您可能对Hony Media Group的市销率达到0.9倍感到漠不关心,因为香港酒店行业的中位数市销率约为0.6倍。然而,如果没有市销率的合理基础,投资者可能正在忽视一个明显的机会或潜在的挫折。
Hony Media Group最近的表现如何?
以示例,Hony Media Group的营业收入在过去一年里出现了恶化,这一点都不理想。许多人可能期望该公司能在未来一段时间内摆脱令人失望的营业收入表现,这一点使市销率没有下降。如果您喜欢这家公司,至少希望情况是如此,这样您就可以在它不太受青睐的时候买入一些股票。
尽管关于Hony Media Group没有分析师预测,但请查看这个免费的数据丰富的可视化图表,了解该公司在收入、营业收入和现金流方面的表现。
其股票价格大幅上涨,现在Hony Media Group 的市销率又回到了行业中位数的范围内。一般来说,我们更倾向于把市销率的使用限制在了解市场对公司整体健康状况的看法上。
令我们惊讶的是,Hony Media Group 揭示的其三年的营业收入趋势对其市销率的影响没有我们预测的那么大,尽管这些趋势看起来比当前的行业预期要好。当我们看到强劲的营业收入和超过行业增长的速度时,我们只能假设潜在风险对市销率造成了压力。至少,如果最近的中期营业收入趋势持续下去,股价下跌的风险似乎被抑制了,但投资者似乎认为未来的营业收入可能会有一些波动。
不要忘记还可能存在其他风险。例如,我们已经发现了2个Hony Media Group的警示信号(其中1个有点不愉快),你应该注意。