Those holding Suzhou Chunxing Precision Mechanical Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002547) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 27% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 28% over that time.
Even after such a large jump in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Suzhou Chunxing Precision Mechanical's P/S ratio of 1.5x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Metals and Mining industry in China is also close to 1.1x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
SZSE:002547 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 23rd 2024
What Does Suzhou Chunxing Precision Mechanical's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Suzhou Chunxing Precision Mechanical over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Suzhou Chunxing Precision Mechanical's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Suzhou Chunxing Precision Mechanical?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Suzhou Chunxing Precision Mechanical's to be considered reasonable.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 12%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 51% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 13% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Suzhou Chunxing Precision Mechanical's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.
The Final Word
Suzhou Chunxing Precision Mechanical appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We find it unexpected that Suzhou Chunxing Precision Mechanical trades at a P/S ratio that is comparable to the rest of the industry, despite experiencing declining revenues during the medium-term, while the industry as a whole is expected to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Suzhou Chunxing Precision Mechanical (1 is concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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